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Midterm WatchRaces · forecasts · voting guides

The 2026 election desk

2026 Senate races

All 35 Senate contests with dated producer ratings and a transparent editorial comparison.

All 35 Senate contests. The sources retain their actual rating dates; a new retrieval does not make an older assessment an October 20 assessment.

Senate UVA rating vintage: Oct 14. Governor UVA rating vintage: Oct 6.
StateDDHQ · Oct 20UVA · dated sourceMidterm WatchEvidence
OhioToss-upToss-upToss-upDDHQ-S · CB-S
IowaToss-upToss-upToss-upDDHQ-S · CB-S
MaineToss-upToss-upToss-upDDHQ-S · CB-S
TexasToss-upToss-upToss-upDDHQ-S · CB-S
AlaskaLean DLean DLean DDDHQ-S · CB-S
KansasLean RToss-upToss-upDDHQ-S · CB-S
MichiganLean DLean DLean DDDHQ-S · CB-S
South CarolinaLean RLikely RLean RDDHQ-S · CB-S
FloridaLikely RSafe RLikely RDDHQ-S · CB-S
NebraskaLikely RLean RLean RDDHQ-S · CB-S
MinnesotaLikely DLean DLean DDDHQ-S · CB-S
New HampshireLikely DLikely DLikely DDDHQ-S · CB-S
North CarolinaLikely DLean DLean DDDHQ-S · CB-S
GeorgiaLikely DLikely DLikely DDDHQ-S · CB-S
MontanaLikely RSafe RLikely RDDHQ-S · CB-S
LouisianaLikely RSafe RLikely RDDHQ-S · CB-S
MississippiLikely RLikely RLikely RDDHQ-S · CB-S
AlabamaSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
KentuckySafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
ArkansasSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
IllinoisSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
New JerseySafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
New MexicoSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
South DakotaSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
VirginiaSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
ColoradoSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
TennesseeSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
IdahoSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
OklahomaSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
DelawareSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
MassachusettsSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
OregonSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
Rhode IslandSafe DSafe DSafe DDDHQ-S · CB-S
West VirginiaSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S
WyomingSafe RSafe RSafe RDDHQ-S · CB-S