OH-15 · 2026 House election

Outlook: Lean R. DDHQ-H · COOK-H

Mike Carey (R); Don Leonard (D)

Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins. HOUSE-270 · BP-H-OH

Candidate list / full ballot information.

These are separate publisher assessments. Different category definitions can explain disagreement.
Producer	Rating	Rating date
DDHQ	Likely R	Oct 20, 2026
Cook Political Report	Lean R	Oct 16, 2026

Election: November 3. Format: general election.

Midterm Watch uses the less confident category when both producers favor the same party. A toss-up or opposing party preferences produces Toss-up. This rule supplies a transparent editorial label, not a calibrated probability. A safe rating is not a guaranteed result.

The record uses the publishers’ 2026 district identifiers. Historical margins and district geometry are not silently carried over from an earlier map.

Open the OH voting guide · Election result status