{ "package_version": "2.0", "as_of_date": "2026-10-20", "research_cutoff_utc": "2026-10-20T20:22:41Z", "research_cutoff_display": "October 20, 2026, 1:22 p.m. PDT / 4:22 p.m. EDT", "destination_site": "https://midtermwatch.com", "publication_status": "dated_research_snapshot; automated_source_cross_checks; no_human_signoff_claimed", "editorial": { "headline": "Democrats favored for the House; Senate control remains close", "summary": "Two weeks before Election Day, published forecasts favor a Democratic House majority and give Democrats a narrow Senate edge. A working central scenario is 235 Democratic and 200 Republican House seats, and a 51\u201349 Democratic Senate caucus advantage. These are DDHQ\u2019s projected seat centers adopted as an editorial baseline, not promised results or a new Midterm Watch probability model.", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-TOP", "POL", "CB-S-TEXT" ], "house_call": "Democratic control favored", "senate_call": "Very close, with a slight Democratic edge", "central_scenario": { "house": { "D": 235, "R": 200 }, "senate_caucuses": { "D": 51, "R": 49 } }, "probability_policy": "Display publisher probabilities separately with publisher, timestamp and methodology. Do not average the models or call the difference between their point forecasts a confidence interval.", "rating_policy": "House: compare DDHQ October 20 with original Cook October 16. Senate/governors: compare DDHQ with the dated UVA source. Same favored party: use the less confident label; any toss-up or opposite favored parties: Toss-up. Executive offices compare the dated Jacobson assessment with the October 20 Horizon category; no publisher numerical probability is adopted. Legislative assessments remain attributed to Jacobson. No numerical odds are fabricated for unpolled courts or propositions.", "forecast_limitations": [ "Models share some polls; agreement is not independent statistical confirmation.", "DDHQ race pages describe a blend of 30% fundamentals, 45% polls and 25% markets. Its forecasts are not polling-only estimates.", "Poliwave says its correlated model has not been historically calibrated and uses simplified ranked-choice/runoff treatment.", "Statewide and national polling errors can move together.", "The 51\u201349 Senate scenario refers to caucus alignment; newly elected independents may affect control." ] }, "forecasts": [ { "office": "House", "publisher": "Decision Desk HQ", "democratic_control_probability_pct": 77, "republican_control_probability_pct": 23, "democratic_seat_center": 235, "republican_seat_center": 200, "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-TOP", "DDHQ-H" ], "published_on": "2026-10-20", "verification": "attributed_model_output; independent contextual comparison is POL, not corroboration of the exact probability", "last_checked_utc": "2026-10-20T20:10:41Z" }, { "office": "House", "publisher": "Poliwave", "democratic_control_probability_pct": 86, "republican_control_probability_pct": 14, "democratic_seat_center": 230, "republican_seat_center": 205, "published_on": "2026-10-20", "run_at": null, "source_ids": [ "POL" ], "verification": "attributed_model_output; not historically calibrated", "last_checked_utc": "2026-10-20T20:10:41Z", "run_time_note": "Original page says updated October 20; precise current simulation time was not established from the final capture." }, { "office": "Senate", "publisher": "Decision Desk HQ", "democratic_control_probability_pct": 56, "republican_control_probability_pct": 44, "democratic_seat_center": 51, "republican_seat_center": 49, "published_on": "2026-10-20", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-TOP" ], "verification": "attributed_model_output", "last_checked_utc": "2026-10-20T20:10:41Z" }, { "office": "Senate", "publisher": "Poliwave", "democratic_control_probability_pct": 55, "republican_control_probability_pct": 34, "independent_decided_control_probability_pct": 11, "democratic_seat_center": 51, "republican_seat_center": 49, "published_on": "2026-10-20", "run_at": null, "source_ids": [ "POL" ], "verification": "attributed_model_output; independent-control treatment differs from other models", "last_checked_utc": "2026-10-20T20:10:41Z", "run_time_note": "Original page says updated October 20; precise current simulation time was not established from the final capture." } ], "senate_ratings": [ { "state": "OH", "name": "Ohio", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": true, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "IA", "name": "Iowa", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "ME", "name": "Maine", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "TX", "name": "Texas", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "AK", "name": "Alaska", "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "KS", "name": "Kansas", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MI", "name": "Michigan", "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "SC", "name": "South Carolina", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "FL", "name": "Florida", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": true, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NE", "name": "Nebraska", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MN", "name": "Minnesota", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NH", "name": "New Hampshire", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NC", "name": "North Carolina", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "GA", "name": "Georgia", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MT", "name": "Montana", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "LA", "name": "Louisiana", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MS", "name": "Mississippi", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-S", "CB-S" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-14" ], "special_election": false, "win_probability": null, 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"special_election": false, "win_probability": null, "publishable": true } ], "governor_ratings": [ { "state": "NV", "name": "Nevada", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "GA", "name": "Georgia", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "AK", "name": "Alaska", "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "OH", "name": "Ohio", "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "FL", "name": "Florida", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "KS", "name": "Kansas", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NH", "name": "New Hampshire", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "IA", "name": "Iowa", "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "WI", "name": "Wisconsin", "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "TX", "name": "Texas", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "AZ", "name": "Arizona", "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "SC", "name": "South Carolina", "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MI", "name": "Michigan", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "OR", "name": "Oregon", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NE", "name": "Nebraska", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "ME", "name": "Maine", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NM", "name": "New Mexico", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MN", "name": "Minnesota", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "CT", "name": "Connecticut", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "NY", "name": "New York", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "CO", "name": "Colorado", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "AL", "name": "Alabama", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "IL", "name": "Illinois", "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "TN", "name": "Tennessee", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "VT", "name": "Vermont", "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "CA", "name": "California", "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "PA", "name": "Pennsylvania", "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "RI", "name": "Rhode Island", "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "OK", "name": "Oklahoma", "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "SD", "name": "South Dakota", "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "AR", "name": "Arkansas", "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "HI", "name": "Hawaii", "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MA", "name": "Massachusetts", "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "ID", "name": "Idaho", "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "MD", "name": "Maryland", "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "state": "WY", "name": "Wyoming", "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "crystal_ball_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "editorial_comparison_rule", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-G", "CB-G" ], "source_dates": [ "2026-10-20", "2026-10-06" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true } ], "house_watchlist": [ { "district": "AK-AL", "state": "AK", "state_name": "Alaska", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Alaska,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nicholas Begich", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Nick Begich" }, { "name": "Eric Hafner", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bill Hill", "party": "I", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jim McDermott", "party": "L", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "ranked-choice general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AK-AL: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "AZ-6", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Juan Ciscomani", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "JoAnna Mendoza", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "AZ-6: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "CO-3", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jeff Hurd", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dwayne Romero", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CO-3: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "CO-4", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lauren Boebert", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Eileen Laubacher", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CO-4: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-7", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bale Dalton", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ryan Elijah", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-7: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "FL-22", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 22, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Casey Askar", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Pia Dandiya", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-22: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "FL-27", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 27, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eliott Rodriguez", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Maria Elvira Salazar", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Maria Salazar" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-27: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "IA-1", "state": "IA", "state_name": "Iowa", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Iowa,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christina Bohannan", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mariannette Miller-Meeks", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "IA-1: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "MI-4", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bill Huizenga", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sean McCann", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-4: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "MI-10", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Bouchard", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Christina Hines", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-10: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "MT-1", "state": "MT", "state_name": "Montana", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Montana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Aaron Flint", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sam Forstag", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MT-1: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "NY-1", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christopher Gallant", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nicholas J. LaLota", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Nicholas LaLota" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NY-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-11", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jamie Ager", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jennifer Balkcom", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NC-11: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "OH-9", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Marcy Kaptur", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Derek Merrin", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OH-9: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "OH-10", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kristina Knickerbocker", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Michael Turner", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Mike Turner" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OH-10: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "PA-1", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brian Fitzpatrick", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bob Harvie", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "PA-10", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Scott Perry", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Janelle Stelson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-10: Lean D. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "TX-35", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 35, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Carlos De La Cruz", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Johnny Garcia", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-35: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "VA-2", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jennifer Kiggans", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jen Kiggans" }, { "name": "Elaine Luria", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "VA-2: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "WI-3", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rebecca Cooke", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Derrick Van Orden", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "WI-3: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." } ], "polls": [ { "id": "NC-S-2026-10-20", "state": "NC", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "Elon", "publication_date": "2026-10-20", "fieldwork_start": "2026-09-29", "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-08", "democratic_candidate": "Roy Cooper", "democratic_percent": 52, "republican_candidate": "Michael Whatley", "republican_percent": 39, "democratic_margin_pp": 13, "total_sample_n": 800, "total_sample_population": "adults; likely-voter subset used for vote choice", "likely_voter_n": 561, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 4.9, "margin_of_error_scope": "likely-voter credibility interval in a non-probability online sample", "fieldwork_age_days": 12, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "ELON", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "NC-TOPLINES" ], "result_verification": "original_release_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true, "sample_n_note": "800 adults; 691 registered voters; 561 likely voters. Do not use the all-adult \u00b14.03 interval for vote choice." }, { "id": "OH-S-2026-10-20", "state": "OH", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "Marist", "publication_date": "2026-10-20", "fieldwork_start": "2026-10-15", "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-18", "democratic_candidate": "Sherrod Brown", "democratic_percent": 48, "republican_candidate": "Jon Husted", "republican_percent": 44, "democratic_margin_pp": 4, "total_sample_n": 1176, "total_sample_population": "registered voters; likely-voter subset used for vote choice", "likely_voter_n": null, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 4.5, "margin_of_error_scope": "likely-voter sample", "fieldwork_age_days": 2, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "MARIST-OH", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "OH-TABLES" ], "result_verification": "original_release_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true, "sample_n_note": "The original methodology applies a likely-voter weight to the registered-voter sample; it does not disclose a separate unweighted likely-voter count. Null is intentional, not a pending verification." }, { "id": "TX-S-2026-10-19", "state": "TX", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "University of Houston", "publication_date": "2026-10-19", "fieldwork_start": "2026-10-10", "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-14", "democratic_candidate": "James Talarico", "democratic_percent": 48, "republican_candidate": "Ken Paxton", "republican_percent": 46, "democratic_margin_pp": 2, "total_sample_n": 2000, "total_sample_population": "likely voters", "likely_voter_n": 2000, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 2.19, "margin_of_error_scope": "pollster-reported overall sample margin", "fieldwork_age_days": 6, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "UH", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "UH" ], "result_verification": "original_release_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true }, { "id": "IA-S-2026-10-15", "state": "IA", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "Marist", "publication_date": "2026-10-15", "fieldwork_start": "2026-10-08", "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-11", "democratic_candidate": "Josh Turek", "democratic_percent": 48, "republican_candidate": "Ashley Hinson", "republican_percent": 45, "democratic_margin_pp": 3, "total_sample_n": 1100, "total_sample_population": "registered voters; likely-voter subset used for vote choice", "likely_voter_n": null, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 6.6, "margin_of_error_scope": "likely-voter sample", "fieldwork_age_days": 9, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "MARIST-IA", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "IA-TABLES" ], "result_verification": "original_release_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true, "sample_n_note": "The original methodology applies a likely-voter weight to the registered-voter sample; it does not disclose a separate unweighted likely-voter count. Null is intentional, not a pending verification." }, { "id": "ME-S-2026-10-14", "state": "ME", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "Suffolk", "publication_date": "2026-10-14", "fieldwork_start": "2026-10-08", "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-11", "democratic_candidate": "Troy Jackson", "democratic_percent": 49, "republican_candidate": "Susan Collins", "republican_percent": 47, "democratic_margin_pp": 2, "total_sample_n": 500, "total_sample_population": "likely voters", "likely_voter_n": 500, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 4.4, "margin_of_error_scope": "full likely-voter sample; subgroups have larger uncertainty", "fieldwork_age_days": 9, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "SUFFOLK-ME", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "ME-METHOD", "SUFFOLK-ME" ], "result_verification": "original_release_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true }, { "id": "MI-S-2026-09-30", "state": "MI", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "Fox / Beacon / Shaw", "publication_date": "2026-09-30", "fieldwork_start": "2026-09-24", "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-28", "democratic_candidate": "Abdul El-Sayed", "democratic_percent": 50, "republican_candidate": "Mike Rogers", "republican_percent": 49, "democratic_margin_pp": 1, "total_sample_n": 1203, "total_sample_population": "registered voters; 1,028 likely voters", "likely_voter_n": 1028, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 3.0, "margin_of_error_scope": "likely-voter sample", "fieldwork_age_days": 22, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "FOX-MI", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "FOX-MI" ], "result_verification": "original_release_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true }, { "id": "MN-S-2026-10-13", "state": "MN", "office": "Senate", "pollster": "SurveyUSA / KSTP", "publication_date": "2026-10-13", "fieldwork_start": "2026-10-08", "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-12", "democratic_candidate": "Peggy Flanagan", "democratic_percent": 45, "republican_candidate": "Michele Tafoya", "republican_percent": 42, "democratic_margin_pp": 3, "total_sample_n": 900, "total_sample_population": "adults; 818 registered voters; 718 likely voters", "likely_voter_n": 718, "reported_margin_of_error_pp": 4.2, "margin_of_error_scope": "pollster credibility interval for the likely-voter question", "fieldwork_age_days": 8, "vote_result_source_ids": [ "MN-PDF", "FORBES" ], "methodology_source_ids": [ "MN-PDF" ], "result_verification": "original_tables_and_reporting_cross_check", "independent_poll_count": 1, "publishable": true } ], "state_registration_records": [ { "state": "AL", "name": "Alabama", "path": "/states/al/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AL", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-AL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/election-2026/2026-VoterGuide.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": null, "availability": "no_general_early_voting" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No general early-voting period. Eligible absentee voters have a separate absentee process." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-02", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by noon on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline. Personal delivery by the voter has an earlier cutoff; see the method-specific note below.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No general early-voting period. Eligible absentee voters have a separate absentee process.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-AL", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Statewide poll hours use Central time; confirm the local clock-time equivalent and polling location with the election authority." } }, { "state": "AK", "name": "Alaska", "path": "/states/ak/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.elections.alaska.gov/calendar/", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-24", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-19", "end": "2026-11-03", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Hours vary by location; some absentee in-person locations operate on Election Day. Electronic delivery has a separate application deadline: November 2 at 5 p.m. Alaska time." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-13" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL", "AK-VOTE" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Domestic mail: postmark Nov 3; delivery by Nov 13. Hand return: 8 p.m. Nov 3. Overseas deadlines differ.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL", "AK-VOTE" ] }, "voting_note": "Hours vary by location; some absentee in-person locations operate on Election Day. Electronic delivery has a separate application deadline: November 2 at 5 p.m. Alaska time.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-AK", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "AK-VOTE", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Alaska is divided between the Alaska and Hawaii-Aleutian time zones." } }, { "state": "AZ", "name": "Arizona", "path": "/states/az/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AZ", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AZ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AZ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AZ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-AZ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://azsos.gov/sites/default/files/docs/HB2022-Primary-Date-Change-2025-2026-calendar-05052026.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-07", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "The ordinary early-voting period ends October 30. A qualifying emergency-voting route may remain available; check the county." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "The ordinary early-voting period ends October 30. A qualifying emergency-voting route may remain available; check the county.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-AZ", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Arizona generally observes Mountain Standard Time. However, the Navajo Nation observes Daylight Saving Time. Because of this, Mountain Daylight Time is sometimes observed in Arizona." } }, { "state": "AR", "name": "Arkansas", "path": "/states/ar/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AR", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-AR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-AR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/elections/2026_Election_Calendar_Rev._6-2025_.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-19", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No early voting on Sunday. Personal delivery and designated-bearer rules differ; the ordinary voter personal-delivery cutoff is October 30." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-10-30", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7:30 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline. Personal delivery by the voter has an earlier cutoff; see the method-specific note below.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No early voting on Sunday. Personal delivery and designated-bearer rules differ; the ordinary voter personal-delivery cutoff is October 30.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-AR", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "CA", "name": "California", "path": "/states/ca/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-CA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/general-election-november-3-2026/key-dates-deadlines", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-05", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "County election-office voting begins October 5; additional vote centers and hours vary by county. Active registered voters are automatically mailed ballots." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-10" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by Nov 10. Hand/drop-box return: 8 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "County election-office voting begins October 5; additional vote centers and hours vary by county. Active registered voters are automatically mailed ballots.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-CA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "California conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "CO", "name": "Colorado", "path": "/states/co/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-26", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-26", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.coloradosos.gov/pubs/elections/calendars/2026ElectionCalendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-19", "end": "2026-11-03", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Voter service centers operate through Election Day. Sites and hours vary; active registered voters are automatically mailed ballots." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Voter service centers operate through Election Day. Sites and hours vary; active registered voters are automatically mailed ballots.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Colorado conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "CT", "name": "Connecticut", "path": "/states/ct/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CT", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-16", "verification_status": "cross_checked", "source_ids": [ "CT-GUIDE", "CT-TOWN", "BP-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Postmark rule confirmed in current official instructions; conflicting generic secondary wording was not used." }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-16", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-CT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://portal.ct.gov/-/media/sots/electionservices/calendars/2026-elections/2026-election-calendar-122325.pdf?rev=db830eb4fb3d4480b702b89d28624a47&hash=582E11FA0973B22BF1B03EC57E2F6F77", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "CT-GUIDE", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-19", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No excuse is needed for an absentee ballot in the 2026 general election. The voter personally returning a ballot to the town clerk must do so by November 2; a drop box or mail return can arrive by 8 p.m. November 3." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-02", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "CT-GUIDE", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline. Personal delivery by the voter has an earlier cutoff; see the method-specific note below.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "CT-GUIDE", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No excuse is needed for an absentee ballot in the 2026 general election. The voter personally returning a ballot to the town clerk must do so by November 2; a drop box or mail return can arrive by 8 p.m. November 3.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-CT", "CT-GUIDE", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "DE", "name": "Delaware", "path": "/states/de/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-10", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-10", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-10", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elections.delaware.gov/voter/votereg.shtml#how", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-30", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-22", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "BP-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No early voting on October 25. October 30 is the last request date for a ballot to be mailed; in-person absentee issuance continues to noon November 2." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No early voting on October 25. October 30 is the last request date for a ballot to be mailed; in-person absentee issuance continues to noon November 2.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-DE", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "DC", "name": "District of Columbia", "path": "/states/dc/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DC", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-DC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-DC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://dcboe.org/elections/2026-elections", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-19", "source_ids": [ "DC-CURRENT", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-26", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "DC-CURRENT", "BP-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Early vote centers: October 26\u2013November 1, 8:30 a.m.\u20137 p.m. Election Day centers: 7 a.m.\u20138 p.m. Eligible registered voters are mailed ballots; the October 19 request date concerns an alternate mailing address/request route." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-13" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by Nov 13. Hand/drop-box return: 8 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Early vote centers: October 26\u2013November 1, 8:30 a.m.\u20137 p.m. Election Day centers: 7 a.m.\u20138 p.m. Eligible registered voters are mailed ballots; the October 19 request date concerns an alternate mailing address/request route.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-DC", "DC-CURRENT", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "FL", "name": "Florida", "path": "/states/fl/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://dos.fl.gov/elections/for-voters/election-dates/", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-22", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-24", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "October 24\u201331 is the mandatory early-voting period. Counties may add dates October 19\u201323 and November 1. Consult the county schedule." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "October 24\u201331 is the mandatory early-voting period. Counties may add dates October 19\u201323 and November 1. Consult the county schedule.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Florida is divided between the Eastern and Central time zones." } }, { "state": "GA", "name": "Georgia", "path": "/states/ga/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-GA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-GA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-GA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-GA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-GA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.ga.gov/sites/default/files/forms/2026%20Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-13", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local sites and hours vary. Consult the election authority for the assigned location and any additional days." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by close of polls on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Check the local election authority for office hours, eligible methods and any emergency or special-category rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-GA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "In cities with populations of 300,000 or more, polling places remain open until 8 p.m. for municipal general elections." } }, { "state": "HI", "name": "Hawaii", "path": "/states/hi/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-HI", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-HI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-26", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-HI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "BP-REG", "VOTEGOV-HI" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-HI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elections.hawaii.gov/about-us/calendar/", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-20", "end": "2026-11-03", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Voter service centers operate from October 20 through Election Day; check county hours. All active registered voters are mailed ballots." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Voter service centers operate from October 20 through Election Day; check county hours. All active registered voters are mailed ballots.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-HI", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Hawaii conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "ID", "name": "Idaho", "path": "/states/id/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://archive.voteidaho.gov/download/2026-election-calendar.pdf?_gl=1*jpjwhs*_ga*MTUwNDg4NzkwOC4xNzY0NzExMjI4*_ga_20546Y1CC5*czE3NjQ3MTEyMjgkbzEkZzEkdDE3NjQ3MTE1MjEkajEyJGwwJGgw", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-13", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Early voting is optional by county and may begin October 13; it ends by 5 p.m. October 30. The October 23 application cutoff is for a ballot to be mailed, distinct from in-person voting." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Early voting is optional by county and may begin October 13; it ends by 5 p.m. October 30. The October 23 application cutoff is for a ballot to be mailed, distinct from in-person voting.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "8 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Polling places may open at 7 a.m. at the discretion of the county clerk. Idaho is divided between the Mountain and Pacific time zones." } }, { "state": "IL", "name": "Illinois", "path": "/states/il/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IL", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-06", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-18", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "BP-REG", "VOTEGOV-IL" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-IL", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.elections.il.gov/Main/CalendarEventsAll.aspx", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-29", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-09-24", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "September 24 is the earliest in-person absentee/early route; permanent early-voting sites can open later. Check the local authority for a particular site." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-17" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by Nov 17. Hand return: 7 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "September 24 is the earliest in-person absentee/early route; permanent early-voting sites can open later. Check the local authority for a particular site.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-IL", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "IN", "name": "Indiana", "path": "/states/in/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.in.gov/counties/clarkcountyclerkofcourts/voting-and-elections/files/2026-Indiana-Election-Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-22", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-06", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "In-person absentee voting ends at noon November 2. A qualifying reason is required for an absentee ballot by mail." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 6 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "In-person absentee voting ends at noon November 2. A qualifying reason is required for an absentee ballot by mail.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 6 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Indiana is divided between the Eastern and Central time zones." } }, { "state": "IA", "name": "Iowa", "path": "/states/ia/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-IA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/candidates/primcandguide.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-19", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-14", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "In-person absentee voting begins October 14 and ordinarily ends November 2. The application to have a ballot mailed was due October 19." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "In-person absentee voting begins October 14 and ordinarily ends November 2. The application to have a ballot mailed was due October 19.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-IA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "KS", "name": "Kansas", "path": "/states/ks/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KS", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-KS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.ks.gov/elections/important-election-dates.html", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "KS-STATUTE", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-14", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Counties may start October 14 and must start by October 27; in-person advance voting ends at noon November 2. Current state guidance retains the court-ordered postmark grace period for mail returns." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-06" }, "source_ids": [ "KS-VOTE", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Current court order: mail postmarked Nov 3 may arrive by the final postal delivery Nov 6. Hand/drop-box return: close of polls Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "KS-VOTE", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Counties may start October 14 and must start by October 27; in-person advance voting ends at noon November 2. Current state guidance retains the court-ordered postmark grace period for mail returns.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-KS", "KS-STATUTE", "VOTE-MAIL", "KS-VOTE", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "County schedules can differ within statutory limits. Polls must stay open for at least 12 consecutive hours; confirm the county schedule and applicable time zone." } }, { "state": "KY", "name": "Kentucky", "path": "/states/ky/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elect.ky.gov/Resources/Documents/2026%20Election%20Calendar%20Final%20Version%2010_6_2025.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-20", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Request an ordinary absentee ballot through the state portal by October 20." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-29", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No-excuse early voting is October 29\u201331. Separate excused in-person absentee days and emergency rules apply. Ordinary online absentee requests close October 20." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 6 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No-excuse early voting is October 29\u201331. Separate excused in-person absentee days and emergency rules apply. Ordinary online absentee requests close October 20.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 6 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Kentucky is divided between the Eastern and Central time zones." } }, { "state": "LA", "name": "Louisiana", "path": "/states/la/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-LA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-LA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-LA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-LA", "BP-REG" ], "note": "October 13 in the 2026 official calendar; the generic Vote.org twenty-day formula differs and is not used for this field." } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-LA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.la.gov/media/p31j4zkc/elections-calendar-2026.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-30", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-20", "end": "2026-10-27", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Early voting excludes Sunday October 25 and runs 8:30 a.m.\u20136 p.m. Most absentee voters face a November 2, 4:30 p.m. receipt cutoff; designated special categories have different rules." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-02", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-02" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Most voters: ballot must reach the registrar by 4:30 p.m. Nov 2. Military, overseas and certain other designated categories have later cutoffs.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Early voting excludes Sunday October 25 and runs 8:30 a.m.\u20136 p.m. Most absentee voters face a November 2, 4:30 p.m. receipt cutoff; designated special categories have different rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-LA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m.\u20138 p.m. on Tuesday, November 3; Saturday runoff hours differ.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "ME", "name": "Maine", "path": "/states/me/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ME", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ME", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ME", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ME", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-ME", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections-voting/state-of-maine-voter-guide", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-29", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": "2026-10-29", "availability": "local_availability" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Available when the municipal clerk has ballots, generally about 30\u201345 days before the election; ordinary in-person absentee voting ends October 29. Check the clerk for ballot availability and special circumstances." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Absentee in-person voting depends on when the municipal clerk has ballots, generally about 30\u201345 days before the election. October 29 is the ordinary request/in-person absentee cutoff; special-circumstances exceptions apply.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-ME", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Opening set locally; close 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Polling places in municipalities with populations less than 500 may open between 6 a.m. and 10 a.m.; those in municipalities with populations of 500 or more may open between 6 a.m. and 8 a.m. All polling places close at 8 p.m." } }, { "state": "MD", "name": "Maryland", "path": "/states/md/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MD", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2026/2026_Election_Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-22", "end": "2026-10-29", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "October 27 is the request cutoff for mail delivery. Online delivery requests have a separate October 30 cutoff; an eligible voter can obtain a ballot in person through Election Day." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-13" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by 10 a.m. Nov 13. Hand/drop-box return: 8 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "October 27 is the request cutoff for mail delivery. Online delivery requests have a separate October 30 cutoff; an eligible voter can obtain a ballot in person through Election Day.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MD", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "MA", "name": "Massachusetts", "path": "/states/ma/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-24", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-24", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-24", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "Check the registration deadline for your method.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sec.state.ma.us/divisions/elections/recent-updates/upcoming-elections.htm", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-17", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Early voting is October 17\u201330. The mailed-ballot application cutoff is October 27 at 5 p.m.; in-person absentee voting can continue until noon November 2." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-06" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by 5 p.m. Nov 6. Hand/drop-box return: close of polls Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Early voting is October 17\u201330. The mailed-ballot application cutoff is October 27 at 5 p.m.; in-person absentee voting can continue until noon November 2.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Municipalities can open polling places as early as 5:45 a.m. All polling places are required to remain open for at least 13 hours." } }, { "state": "MI", "name": "Michigan", "path": "/states/mi/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MI", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.michigan.gov/sos/-/media/Project/Websites/sos/Election-Administrators/Election-Dates.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-30", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-24", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "The minimum early-voting period is October 24\u2013November 1; communities may offer more days. A clerk-office absentee route has separate hours and deadlines." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "The minimum early-voting period is October 24\u2013November 1; communities may offer more days. A clerk-office absentee route has separate hours and deadlines.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MI", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Michigan is divided between the Eastern and Central time zones." } }, { "state": "MN", "name": "Minnesota", "path": "/states/mn/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MN", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.mn.gov/election-administration-campaigns/elections-calendar/", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-09-18", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "In-person absentee voting starts September 18; direct-to-counter early voting begins October 16. Both pre-election routes end November 2. A mail request made close to Election Day may not leave enough delivery time." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "In-person absentee voting starts September 18; direct-to-counter early voting begins October 16. Both pre-election routes end November 2. A mail request made close to Election Day may not leave enough delivery time.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MN", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Municipalities with fewer than 500 registered voters can open polling places as late as 10 a.m." } }, { "state": "MS", "name": "Mississippi", "path": "/states/ms/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MS", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MS", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.ms.gov/content/documents/elections/2026%20Elections%20Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "No fixed application cutoff; contact the county promptly and meet the return deadline." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": null, "availability": "no_general_early_voting" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No general early voting. Voters with a qualifying absentee excuse may vote absentee in person, ending at noon October 31. There is no fixed by-mail application deadline; allow time for both mail journeys." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": null, "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-10" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival within five business days, by Nov 10. Qualifying absentee eligibility is required.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No general early voting. Voters with a qualifying absentee excuse may vote absentee in person, ending at noon October 31. There is no fixed by-mail application deadline; allow time for both mail journeys.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MS", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "MO", "name": "Missouri", "path": "/states/mo/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MO", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-07", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-07", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-07", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MO", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/calendar/2026cal", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-21", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-20", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No-excuse in-person absentee voting is October 20\u2013November 2. A qualifying excuse is required for a mailed absentee ballot; remote requests are due October 21. Email/fax submission is distinct from an online application portal." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No-excuse in-person absentee voting is October 20\u2013November 2. A qualifying excuse is required for a mailed absentee ballot; remote requests are due October 21. Email/fax submission is distinct from an online application portal.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MO", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "MT", "name": "Montana", "path": "/states/mt/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MT", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-MT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sosmt.gov/elections/calendars/", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "local_availability" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Absentee in-person voting depends on ballot availability and ends at noon November 2. Check the current county schedule; do not rely on an advertised October 31 registration opportunity without checking current court guidance." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Absentee in-person voting depends on ballot availability and ends at noon November 2. Check the current county schedule; do not rely on an advertised October 31 registration opportunity without checking current court guidance.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-MT", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Polling places having fewer than 400 registered voters are open from at least noon to 8 p.m., or until all registered voters in any precinct have voted, at which time that precinct's polling place has to be closed immediately." } }, { "state": "NE", "name": "Nebraska", "path": "/states/ne/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-16", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-16", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The mail and online cutoffs have passed; in-person registration remains available through October 23.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2026/2026_Election_Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-05", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local sites and hours vary. Consult the election authority for the assigned location and any additional days." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by close of polls on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Check the local election authority for office hours, eligible methods and any emergency or special-category rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone)", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "NV", "name": "Nevada", "path": "/states/nv/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NV", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NV", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-06", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NV", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-11-03", "source_ids": [ "NV-SDR", "NV-2026", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Online same-day registration continues through Election Day. From October 21, use the in-person voting route; new registrants vote provisionally subject to verification. Nevada ID and residence requirements apply. October 20 is the end of the extended-online phase that still provides a mailed ballot." } }, "registration_action": "Online or in-person same-day registration remains available through Election Day. Registration on or after October 21 requires voting in person; check the Nevada ID and residence rules.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "NV-SDR", "NV-2026" ], "official_url": "https://www.nvsos.gov/home/showpublisheddocument/17306/639040036715470000", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-17", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Active registered voters are mailed ballots. New same-day registrants from October 21 must vote in person; the automatic-mail statement does not extend to that late-registration route." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-07" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by 5 p.m. Nov 7. Hand/drop-box return: 7 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Active registered voters are mailed ballots. New same-day registrants from October 21 must vote in person; the automatic-mail statement does not extend to that late-registration route.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NV", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Nevada conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "NH", "name": "New Hampshire", "path": "/states/nh/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NH", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": null, "verification_status": "municipality_specific", "source_ids": [ "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "note": "Pre-election cutoff follows the local checklist session. Check the town/city clerk." }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-NH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/inline-documents/sonh/political-calendar-2026-2027-tops-pages-of-calendar-landscape_0.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": null, "availability": "no_general_early_voting" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No general early-voting or no-excuse absentee period. Qualifying absentee voters should contact the town/city clerk; local pre-election registration sessions differ." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 5 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No general early-voting or no-excuse absentee period. Qualifying absentee voters should contact the town/city clerk; local pre-election registration sessions differ.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NH", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Hours set by municipality; close no earlier than 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Polls must open at 11 a.m. or earlier and cannot close before 7:00 p.m." } }, { "state": "NJ", "name": "New Jersey", "path": "/states/nj/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NJ", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NJ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NJ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NJ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-NJ", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/chrons/2026-chron-general-election-0109.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-24", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Online portal deadlines must not be inferred from a remote application date. October 27 is the receipt cutoff for a mailed application; in-person application remains available to 3 p.m. November 2." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-09" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: postmark by 8 p.m. Nov 3 and arrival by Nov 9. Hand return: 8 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Online portal deadlines must not be inferred from a remote application date. October 27 is the receipt cutoff for a mailed application; in-person application remains available to 3 p.m. November 2.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NJ", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "NM", "name": "New Mexico", "path": "/states/nm/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-06", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-06", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.nm.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/2026-Primary-Candidate-Guide-Updated.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-20", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-06", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local sites and hours vary. Consult the election authority for the assigned location and any additional days." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Check the local election authority for office hours, eligible methods and any emergency or special-category rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "NY", "name": "New York", "path": "/states/ny/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-24", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-24", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-24", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "Check the registration deadline for your method.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elections.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2025/12/2026-political-calendar-quad-fold-12.9.2025-final.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-24", "source_ids": [ "NY-GUIDE", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-24", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Mailed and online ballot requests are due October 24; in-person requests are due November 2. A postmarked ballot must arrive by November 10." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-10" }, "source_ids": [ "NY-GUIDE", "BP-RETURN" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by Nov 10. Authorized hand return: 9 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "NY-GUIDE", "BP-RETURN" ] }, "voting_note": "Mailed and online ballot requests are due October 24; in-person requests are due November 2. A postmarked ballot must arrive by November 10.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "NY-GUIDE", "BP-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 9 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "NC", "name": "North Carolina", "path": "/states/nc/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-31", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-09", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-09", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "Same-day registration is available during early voting through October 31; it is generally unavailable on Election Day.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.ncsbe.gov/voting/upcoming-election", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-20", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-15", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local sites and hours vary. Consult the election authority for the assigned location and any additional days." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7:30 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Check the local election authority for office hours, eligible methods and any emergency or special-category rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "The hours can be extended if polling times are delayed or interrupted by more than 15 minutes." } }, { "state": "ND", "name": "North Dakota", "path": "/states/nd/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ND", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": null, "verification_status": "registration_not_required", "source_ids": [ "VOTEGOV-ND", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": null, "verification_status": "registration_not_required", "source_ids": [ "VOTEGOV-ND", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "registration_not_required", "source_ids": [ "VOTEGOV-ND", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "Voter registration is not required; eligibility and identification rules still apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-ND", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.nd.gov/elections/voter/elections-currentpast", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Request promptly from the county. A request date does not extend the November 3 close-of-polls ballot receipt deadline." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": null, "availability": "local_availability" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "No voter registration is required. Early-voting availability and hours vary by county. Request a ballot early; it must be received by close of polls November 3 and cannot be returned to a polling location on Election Day." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by close of polls on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline. Deliver to the county auditor or authorized drop box, not to an Election Day polling place.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "No voter registration is required. Early-voting availability and hours vary by county. Request a ballot early; it must be received by close of polls November 3 and cannot be returned to a polling location on Election Day.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-ND", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Hours set locally; closing ranges from 7 to 9 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "North Dakota is divided between the Central and Mountain time zones." } }, { "state": "OH", "name": "Ohio", "path": "/states/oh/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OH", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-OH", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.ohiosos.gov/assets/election-calendar-2026.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-06", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Mail application receipt cutoff: October 27. Early in-person voting ends November 1 at 5 p.m. Ordinary domestic absentee ballots must be received by 7:30 p.m. Election Day; do not use the old domestic grace-period rule." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7:30 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Mail application receipt cutoff: October 27. Early in-person voting ends November 1 at 5 p.m. Ordinary domestic absentee ballots must be received by 7:30 p.m. Election Day; do not use the old domestic grace-period rule.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-OH", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "OK", "name": "Oklahoma", "path": "/states/ok/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OK", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-09", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-09", "verification_status": "cross_checked", "source_ids": [ "OK-REG-RULE", "BP-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Postmark rule confirmed in current official instructions; conflicting generic secondary wording was not used." }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-09", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-OK", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://oklahoma.gov/content/dam/ok/en/elections/dates-and-deadlines/2026-voter-information-calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-19", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-28", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Early voting: October 28\u201330, 8 a.m.\u20136 p.m.; October 31, 8 a.m.\u20132 p.m. Ordinary personal delivery ends close of business November 2; a mailed return must arrive by 7 p.m. November 3." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-02", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline. Personal delivery by the voter has an earlier cutoff; see the method-specific note below.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Early voting: October 28\u201330, 8 a.m.\u20136 p.m.; October 31, 8 a.m.\u20132 p.m. Ordinary personal delivery ends close of business November 2; a mailed return must arrive by 7 p.m. November 3.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-OK", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "OR", "name": "Oregon", "path": "/states/or/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OR", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-OR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-OR", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Documents/current-elections-calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": null, "availability": "mail_election_with_accessible_office_assistance" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ballots are mailed to active registered voters. There is no conventional early-voting period; election offices provide accessible voting assistance. Drop boxes close 8 p.m. local time." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-10" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by Nov 10. Drop-box return: 8 p.m. local time Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Ballots are mailed to active registered voters. There is no conventional early-voting period; election offices provide accessible voting assistance. Drop boxes close 8 p.m. local time.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-OR", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Ballot drop deadline: 8 p.m. local time; election-office hours vary.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Oregon conducts its elections largely by mail. Oregon is divided between the Mountain and Pacific time zones." } }, { "state": "PA", "name": "Pennsylvania", "path": "/states/pa/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-PA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-PA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-PA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-PA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-PA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.pa.gov/content/dam/copapwp-pagov/en/dos/programs/voting-and-elections/running-for-office/2026/2026-general-election-calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-27", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": null, "end": "2026-10-27", "availability": "local_availability" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "This is on-demand mail-ballot voting at county offices, rather than a uniform statewide early-voting period. Starts vary with ballot availability. October 27 at 5 p.m. is the application cutoff; an issued ballot can be returned by 8 p.m. November 3." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "This is on-demand mail-ballot voting at county offices, rather than a uniform statewide early-voting period. Starts vary with ballot availability. October 27 at 5 p.m. is the application cutoff; an issued ballot can be returned by 8 p.m. November 3.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-PA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "RI", "name": "Rhode Island", "path": "/states/ri/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-RI", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-RI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-RI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-RI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-RI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elections.ri.gov/elections/upcoming-elections", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-13", "source_ids": [ "RI-PORTAL", "RI-RULE", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-14", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "The ordinary mail-ballot application deadline was October 13. An emergency mail-ballot/early-voting route remains available through November 2; check the local board of canvassers." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "The ordinary mail-ballot application deadline was October 13. An emergency mail-ballot/early-voting route remains available through November 2; check the local board of canvassers.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-RI", "RI-PORTAL", "RI-RULE", "BP-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Opening times for the presidential preference primary and the statewide primary elections can be later than 7 a.m." } }, { "state": "SC", "name": "South Carolina", "path": "/states/sc/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SC", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-02", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SC", "BP-REG" ], "note": "Ordinary office cutoff; special availability can depend on county opening hours." }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-04", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-SC", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://scvotes.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/2026-Election-Calendar-Draft-scVOTES_.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-19", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local sites and hours vary. Consult the election authority for the assigned location and any additional days." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Check the local election authority for office hours, eligible methods and any emergency or special-category rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-SC", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "SD", "name": "South Dakota", "path": "/states/sd/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SD", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-SD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-SD", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/assets/2026%20Documents/2026ElectionCALENDAR.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-09-18", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local sites and hours vary. Consult the election authority for the assigned location and any additional days." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Check the local election authority for office hours, eligible methods and any emergency or special-category rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-SD", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "South Dakota is divided between the Central and Mountain time zones." } }, { "state": "TN", "name": "Tennessee", "path": "/states/tn/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TN", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-TN", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.tn.gov/elections/calendar", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-24", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-14", "end": "2026-10-29", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "An absentee-by-mail ballot requires a qualifying reason and must be returned by mail, not hand-delivered. It must arrive by close of polls: 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": null, "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "TN-VOTE", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Return through the mail; arrival required by 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern Nov 3. Ordinary hand delivery is not permitted.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "TN-VOTE", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-HOURS" ] }, "voting_note": "An absentee-by-mail ballot requires a qualifying reason and must be returned by mail, not hand-delivered. It must arrive by close of polls: 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-TN", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "TN-VOTE", "BP-HOURS", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Opening set by county; close 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "At least 15 days prior to the election, each county determines the opening time for polling places in that county. Polling places in the Eastern time zone close at 8 p.m., while polling places in the Central time zone close at 7 p.m." } }, { "state": "TX", "name": "Texas", "path": "/states/tx/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-05", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/voter/important-election-dates.shtml", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-19", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Mail voting requires eligibility. The application must be received October 23. Most domestic mailed ballots need an Election Day postmark and receipt by 5 p.m. November 4; hand delivery has separate ID and Election Day rules." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-04" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Ordinary domestic mail: Nov 3 postmark, with arrival by 5 p.m. Nov 4. Election Day hand delivery has ID and designated-location requirements.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Mail voting requires eligibility. The application must be received October 23. Most domestic mailed ballots need an Election Day postmark and receipt by 5 p.m. November 4; hand delivery has separate ID and Election Day rules.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Texas is divided between the Central and Mountain time zones." } }, { "state": "UT", "name": "Utah", "path": "/states/ut/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-UT", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-UT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-UT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-UT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-UT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://vote.utah.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/2026-Utah-Election-Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-20", "end": "2026-10-30", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary ballots must be received by 8 p.m. November 3. Do not publish the former day-before postmark rule. County early-voting schedules vary within October 20\u201330." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Ordinary ballots must be received by 8 p.m. November 3. Do not publish the former day-before postmark rule. County early-voting schedules vary within October 20\u201330.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-UT", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Utah conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "VT", "name": "Vermont", "path": "/states/vt/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VT", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-VT", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.vermont.gov/elections/voters/registration/", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-09-19", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Active registered voters are mailed general-election ballots. Municipal clerks can provide in-person early/absentee voting when ballots are available; local office hours differ." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by close of polls on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Active registered voters are mailed general-election ballots. Municipal clerks can provide in-person early/absentee voting when ballots are available; local office hours differ.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-VT", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Opening set locally; close 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Vermont conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "VA", "name": "Virginia", "path": "/states/va/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-23", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.elections.virginia.gov/casting-a-ballot/calendars-schedules/upcoming-elections.html", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-23", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-09-18", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "In-person absentee voting ends October 31 at 5 p.m. The mail application receipt deadline is October 23 at 5 p.m. Postmarked mail returns must arrive by noon November 6." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-06" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by noon Nov 6. Hand return: 7 p.m. Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "In-person absentee voting ends October 31 at 5 p.m. The mail application receipt deadline is October 23 at 5 p.m. Postmarked mail returns must arrive by noon November 6.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "WA", "name": "Washington", "path": "/states/wa/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-26", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-26", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/elections-calendar/dates-and-deadlines", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": true, "deadline_type": null, "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "Ballots automatically mailed to eligible active registered voters; contact the election authority for a replacement or alternate-address request." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-16", "end": "2026-11-03", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Voter service centers and drop boxes remain available on Election Day. Ballots must be postmarked by November 3 or deposited in a drop box by 8 p.m. local time; service-center hours vary." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": null }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: postmark by Nov 3. Drop boxes: 8 p.m. local time Nov 3.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Voter service centers and drop boxes remain available on Election Day. Ballots must be postmarked by November 3 or deposited in a drop box by 8 p.m. local time; service-center hours vary.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "Ballot drop deadline: 8 p.m. local time; election-office hours vary.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Washington conducts its elections largely by mail." } }, { "state": "WV", "name": "West Virginia", "path": "/states/wv/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WV", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WV", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WV", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-13", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WV", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "The ordinary registration deadline has passed.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-WV", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.wv.gov/media/467/download?inline", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-28", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-21", "end": "2026-10-31", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "The ordinary voter hand-return cutoff is November 2. A timely Election Day postmarked mailed ballot can arrive by November 9; an unpostmarked ballot must arrive by November 4." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-02", "mail_postmark_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_receipt_date": null, "mail_final_receipt_date": "2026-11-09" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "Mail: Nov 3 postmark and arrival by Nov 9. Without a postmark, arrival by Nov 4. Personal hand return: Nov 2.", "rule_type": "postmarked", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "The ordinary voter hand-return cutoff is November 2. A timely Election Day postmarked mailed ballot can arrive by November 9; an unpostmarked ballot must arrive by November 4.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-WV", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "WI", "name": "Wisconsin", "path": "/states/wi/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WI", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-14", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "deadline_type": "postmarked", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked" }, "online": { "value": "2026-10-14", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-WI", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://elections.wi.gov/sites/default/files/documents/2026_2027%20Election%20Calendar_0.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-10-29", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-20", "end": "2026-11-01", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Each municipal clerk chooses in-person absentee days within October 20\u2013November 1. Some clerks end earlier. Mail/online absentee applications ordinarily close October 29 at 5 p.m." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 8 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "Each municipal clerk chooses in-person absentee days within October 20\u2013November 1. Some clerks end earlier. Mail/online absentee applications ordinarily close October 29 at 5 p.m.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-WI", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 8 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } }, { "state": "WY", "name": "Wyoming", "path": "/states/wy/", "election_date": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WY", "BP-REG" ] }, "registration": { "in_person": { "value": "2026-11-03", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] }, "mail": { "value": "2026-10-19", "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WY", "BP-REG" ], "deadline_type": "received", "deadline_type_status": "cross_checked", "note": "October 19 in the official calendar; do not substitute the October 20 date implied by Vote.org\u2019s generic fourteen-day formula." }, "online": { "value": null, "verification_status": "not_offered", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ] } }, "registration_action": "In-person registration remains available through Election Day; location, identification and ballot rules apply.", "registration_action_source_ids": [ "OFF-WY", "BP-REG", "VOTE-REG" ], "official_url": "https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2026/2026_Election_Calendar.pdf", "last_researched": "2026-10-20", "human_review_status": "not_claimed", "mail_request": { "value": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Deadline for a ballot to be mailed; applying close to the cutoff can leave insufficient delivery time. Local pickup, emergency, military and overseas rules differ.", "automatic_mail_ballot": false, "deadline_type": "received", "request_scope": "ordinary_domestic_mailed_ballot", "rule_summary": "The application must reach the election authority by this date." }, "in_person_voting": { "value": { "start": "2026-10-06", "end": "2026-11-02", "availability": "available" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "In-person absentee voting ends November 2. Email can be used to request a ballot; that does not mean a voted ballot may be returned by email." }, "mail_return": { "value": { "hand_return_date": "2026-11-03", "mail_postmark_date": null, "mail_receipt_date": "2026-11-03" }, "source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Ordinary domestic ballots; submission method matters. See the detailed instruction below.", "instruction": "The election authority must have the ballot by 7 p.m. on Nov 3; an Election Day postmark alone does not meet this receipt deadline.", "rule_type": "received", "instruction_source_ids": [ "BP-RETURN", "VOTE-MAIL" ] }, "voting_note": "In-person absentee voting ends November 2. Email can be used to request a ballot; that does not mean a voted ballot may be returned by email.", "voting_note_source_ids": [ "OFF-WY", "BP-MAIL", "VOTE-MAIL", "BP-RETURN", "BP-EARLY", "VOTE-EARLY" ], "field_scope": "ordinary domestic voters; local sites/hours and special categories require the linked authority", "election_day_hours": { "value": "7 a.m. to 7 p.m.", "source_ids": [ "BP-HOURS", "VOTECLOCK", "GP-HOURS" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked", "note": "Local time. Check the assigned polling place for applicable exceptions." } } ], "urgent_dates": [ { "state": "KY", "date": "2026-10-20", "label": "Online absentee ballot request", "source_ids": [ "OFF-KY", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "NC", "date": "2026-10-20", "label": "Absentee ballot request", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NC", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "NM", "date": "2026-10-20", "label": "Absentee ballot request", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NM", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "FL", "date": "2026-10-22", "label": "Vote-by-mail ballot request", "source_ids": [ "OFF-FL", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "IN", "date": "2026-10-22", "label": "Absentee-by-mail application", "source_ids": [ "OFF-IN", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "NE", "date": "2026-10-23", "label": "In-person registration", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NE", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "TX", "date": "2026-10-23", "label": "Ballot-by-mail application", "source_ids": [ "OFF-TX", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "ID", "date": "2026-10-23", "label": "Pre-registration and absentee request", "source_ids": [ "OFF-ID", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "VA", "date": "2026-10-23", "label": "Regular registration and mail-ballot request", "source_ids": [ "OFF-VA", "BP-MAIL" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "MA", "date": "2026-10-24", "label": "Voter registration", "source_ids": [ "OFF-MA", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "NY", "date": "2026-10-24", "label": "Voter registration", "source_ids": [ "OFF-NY", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "CO", "date": "2026-10-26", "label": "Register in time to receive a mailed ballot", "source_ids": [ "OFF-CO", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." }, { "state": "WA", "date": "2026-10-26", "label": "Online or mail registration receipt", "source_ids": [ "OFF-WA", "BP-REG" ], "verification_status": "cross_checked_date", "time": null, "time_status": "not_imported", "note": "Check the official source for the local cutoff time, eligibility and submission method." } ], "site_findings": [ { "priority": "P0", "title": "Registration map uses a generic late-registration message", "evidence": "Homepage titles for states including PA, TX and SD say same-day rules may still apply even though the site dataset marks late_registration=none.", "recommendation": "Render state-specific action text using method and exception fields; suppress the generic caveat where ordinary same-day registration is unavailable.", "verification": "Check PA/TX/SD against CA/NC/NE at the same date." }, { "priority": "P0", "title": "One registration date hides later routes", "evidence": "The scalar date loses Illinois online October 18, Nebraska in-person October 23, Louisiana online October 13 and Hawaii online Election Day.", "recommendation": "Use separate online, mail and in-person fields, with receipt/postmark type and proof/location notes.", "verification": "A passed mail deadline must not disable a later valid method." }, { "priority": "P0", "title": "Freshness badges must distinguish checks from data vintage", "evidence": "Homepage/data page say generated October 10; current capture is October 20.", "recommendation": "Store source publication, poll fieldwork, actual source check, dataset build and browser render times separately.", "verification": "Never update source_retrieved_at merely because a page rebuilds." }, { "priority": "P1", "title": "Calendar coverage chart is incomplete by design", "evidence": "Home chart explicitly counts only 18 reviewed jurisdiction primary records and shows zeros for earlier months.", "recommendation": "Move it to a labeled archive section or replace it with a general-election deadline timeline.", "verification": "Avoid presenting missing primary coverage as zero elections." }, { "priority": "P1", "title": "Canonical and structured-data opportunity", "evidence": "Full HTML sample: homepage, PA/NC/WI state desks and About contained no canonical link or JSON-LD. Robots and sitemap were reachable.", "recommendation": "Add self-referencing canonicals and truthful WebSite/Organization, BreadcrumbList and Dataset metadata. Add dateModified only for actual changes.", "verification": "Inspect served head and validate JSON-LD after deployment; search-engine selected canonicals were not measured." }, { "priority": "P1", "title": "A forecast section needs its own editorial standard", "evidence": "The current methodology covers official dates and human review; no forecasting method is stated.", "recommendation": "Keep official voting facts separate from polling, editorial ratings and attributed model outputs. Publish the comparison rule and a correction log.", "verification": "Every forecast card identifies producer, data time and uncertainty." }, { "priority": "P1", "title": "Election-night states need explicit status", "evidence": "Current site is a calendar, with no inspected live results feed.", "recommendation": "Prepare awaiting polls / counting / projected / certified states; attach a named call provider and official certification source.", "verification": "A forecast must never automatically become a race call." }, { "priority": "P2", "title": "Accessibility and mobile improvements", "evidence": "Maps and tiles are the principal navigation in the inspected content; visual interaction was not functionally tested.", "recommendation": "Offer searchable text tables, keyboard-accessible state controls, explicit date labels and non-color status cues; test contrast and touch targets.", "verification": "Check keyboard, screen reader and a 390px viewport before release." }, { "priority": "P2", "title": "Organic-search expansion", "evidence": "Current titles and descriptions already identify 2026 and November 3. No rank, traffic or speed measurements were collected.", "recommendation": "Add distinct Senate, House, governors, polling and how-to-vote routes; keep useful state pages canonical and link them to related races.", "verification": "Check unique titles, internal links and indexability; measure performance separately." } ], "coverage": { "existing_calendar_records": 74, "current_state_general_records": 51, "senate_races": 35, "governor_races": 36, "house_watchlist_districts": 20, "house_races_not_individually_refreshed": 0, "cross_checked_senate_poll_results": 7, "full_secondary_voting_calendars_collected": [ "registration", "mail_request", "early_voting", "mail_return" ], "remaining_field_review_required": false, "historical_records_not_reverified": 20, "conditional_runoff_records_not_reverified": 0, "house_races": 435, "legislative_watch_chambers": 32, "statewide_executive_races": 60, "judicial_watch_contests": 17, "ballot_measures": 15, "reconciled_finance_candidates": 2 }, "licensing_note": "Facts and original editorial summaries are supplied. Publisher maps, photos, full articles and live feeds are not licensed or included. Confirm terms before bulk/commercial reuse of third-party datasets.", "house_races": [ { "district": "AL-1", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jerry Carl", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Clyde Jones", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AL-2", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Shomari Figures", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rhett Marques", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "AL-3", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lee McInnis", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mike Rogers", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AL-4", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Robert Aderholt", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Amanda Pusczek", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AL-5", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Andrew Sneed", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dale Strong", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AL-6", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Maurice Mercer", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Gary Palmer", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AL-7", "state": "AL", "state_name": "Alabama", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Submit photo | Ammie Akin", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Ammie Akin" }, { "name": "Terri Sewell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AL-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "AK-AL", "state": "AK", "state_name": "Alaska", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Alaska,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nicholas Begich", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Nick Begich" }, { "name": "Eric Hafner", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bill Hill", "party": "I", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jim McDermott", "party": "L", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "ranked-choice general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AK-AL: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "AZ-1", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jay Feely", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Amish Shah", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AZ-1: Lean D. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "AZ-2", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eli Crane", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jonathan Nez", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AZ-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "AZ-3", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Yassamin Ansari", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AZ-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "AZ-4", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Zuhdi Jasser", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Zhudi Jasser" }, { "name": "Greg Stanton", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AZ-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "AZ-5", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mark Lamb", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Elizabeth Lee", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "AZ-5: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AZ-6", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Juan Ciscomani", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "JoAnna Mendoza", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "AZ-6: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "AZ-7", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Daniel Butierez", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Adelita Grijalva", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AZ-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "AZ-8", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Abraham Hamadeh", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bernadette Greene Placentia", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "AZ-8: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AZ-9", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Paul Gosar", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Danielle Sterbinsky", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AZ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AZ-9: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AR-1", "state": "AR", "state_name": "Arkansas", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arkansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rick Crawford", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Terri Yarbrough Green", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Terri Green" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AR-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AR-2", "state": "AR", "state_name": "Arkansas", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arkansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "French Hill", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris Jones", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AR-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "AR-3", "state": "AR", "state_name": "Arkansas", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arkansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Robb Ryerse", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Steve Womack", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AR-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "AR-4", "state": "AR", "state_name": "Arkansas", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arkansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Russell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bruce Westerman", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-AR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "AR-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "CA-1", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Gallagher", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mike McGuire", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-2", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jared Huffman", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robin Littau", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-3", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ami Bera", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robb Tucker", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-4", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eric Jones", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mike Thompson", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-5", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Masuda", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tom McClintock", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CA-5: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "CA-6", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kevin Kiley", "party": "I", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Richard Pan", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-7", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Doris Matsui", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mai Vang", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-8", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Garamendi", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rudy Recile", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-9", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Josh Harder", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "John McBride", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-9: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-10", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mark DeSaulnier", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jeff Frese", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-11", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Connie Chan", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Scott Wiener", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-11: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-12", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jamie Joyce", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lateefah Simon", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-12: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-13", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Adam Gray", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kevin Lincoln", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CA-13: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "CA-14", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Melissa Hernandez", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Aisha Wahab", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-14: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-15", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Charles Hoelter", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kevin Mullin", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-15: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-16", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 16, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sam Liccardo", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Peter Soule", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-16: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-17", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 17, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ro Khanna", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ritesh Tandon", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-17: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-18", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 18, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Shane Lewis", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Zoe Lofgren", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-18: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-19", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 19, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jimmy Panetta", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Peter Verbica", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Peter Coe Verbica" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-19: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-20", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 20, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Vince Fong", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sandra Van Scotter", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-20: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "CA-21", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 21, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jim Costa", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kyle Kirkland", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CA-21: Likely D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "CA-22", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 22, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "David G. Valadao", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "David Valadao" }, { "name": "Randy Villegas", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CA-22: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "CA-23", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 23, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tessa Lynn Hodge", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tessa Hodge" }, { "name": "Jay Obernolte", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-23: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "CA-24", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 24, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Salud Carbajal", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bob Smith", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-24: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-25", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 25, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Joe Males", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Raul Ruiz", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-25: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-26", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 26, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Samuel Gallucci", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Sam Gallucci" }, { "name": "Jacqui Irwin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-26: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-27", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 27, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jason Gibbs", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "George Whitesides", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-27: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-28", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 28, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Judy Chu", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "April Verlato", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-28: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-29", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 29, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ang\u00e9lica Mar\u00eda Due\u00f1as", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Angelica Duenas" }, { "name": "Luz Maria Rivas", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Luz Rivas" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-29: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-30", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 30, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Laura Friedman", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Scott Meyers", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-30: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-31", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 31, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eric Ching", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Gil Cisneros", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-31: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-32", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 32, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brad Sherman", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Larry Thompson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-32: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-33", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 33, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pete Aguilar", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Stephanie Vargas", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-33: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-34", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 34, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jimmy Gomez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Angela Gonzales-Torres", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-34: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-35", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 35, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Cargile", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Norma Torres", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-35: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-36", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 36, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Houston Brignano", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ted Lieu", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-36: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-37", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 37, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sydney Kamlager-Dove", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Samantha Mota", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-37: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-38", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 38, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pedro Casas", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Hilda Solis", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-38: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-39", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 39, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Steve Manos", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mark Takano", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-39: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-40", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 40, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ken Calvert", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Young Kim", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-40: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "CA-41", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 41, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mitch Clemmons", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Linda S\u00e1nchez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-41: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-42", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 42, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brian Burley", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robert Garcia", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-42: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-43", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 43, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Cristian Morales", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Christian Morales" }, { "name": "Maxine Waters", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-43: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-44", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 44, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Genevieve Angel", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nanette Barrag\u00e1n", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-44: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-45", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 45, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Derek Tran", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chuong Vo", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-45: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "CA-46", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 46, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lou Correa", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "David Pan", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-46: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-47", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 47, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jenny Rae Le Roux", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jenny Le Roux" }, { "name": "Dave Min", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-47: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-48", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 48, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jim Desmond", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Marni von Wilpert", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CA-48: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "CA-49", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 49, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Armen Kurdian", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mike Levin", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-49: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-50", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 50, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Steve Cohen", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Scott Peters", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-50: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-51", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 51, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ricardo Cabrera", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sara Jacobs", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-51: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CA-52", "state": "CA", "state_name": "California", "district_number": 52, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jeff Belle", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Juan Vargas", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CA-52: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CO-1", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Melat Kiros", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Christy Peterson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CO-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CO-2", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kelley Dennison", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joe Neguse", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CO-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CO-3", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jeff Hurd", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dwayne Romero", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CO-3: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "CO-4", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lauren Boebert", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Eileen Laubacher", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CO-4: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "CO-5", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jeff Crank", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jessica Killin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CO-5: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "CO-6", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jason Crow", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CO-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CO-7", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Timothy Bennett", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tim Bennett" }, { "name": "Brittany Pettersen", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CO-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CO-8", "state": "CO", "state_name": "Colorado", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gabe Evans", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Manny Rutinel", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CO" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "CO-8: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "CT-1", "state": "CT", "state_name": "Connecticut", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Connecticut,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Luke Bronin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Amy Chai", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CT-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CT-2", "state": "CT", "state_name": "Connecticut", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Connecticut,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "George Austin", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joe Courtney", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CT-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CT-3", "state": "CT", "state_name": "Connecticut", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Connecticut,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rosa L. DeLauro", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Rosa DeLauro" }, { "name": "Christopher Lancia", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CT-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CT-4", "state": "CT", "state_name": "Connecticut", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Connecticut,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Goldstein", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jim Himes", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CT-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "CT-5", "state": "CT", "state_name": "Connecticut", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Connecticut,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jahana Hayes", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris Shea", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-CT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "CT-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "DE-AL", "state": "DE", "state_name": "Delaware", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Delaware,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Joseph Arminio", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-DE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sarah McBride", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-DE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-DE" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "DE-AL: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "FL-1", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jimmy Patronis", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Gay Valimont", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-2", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Amanda Green", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Austin Rogers", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-3", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kat Cammack", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Seth Harp", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-3: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-4", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Aaron Bean", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "LaShonda Holloway", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "L.J. Holloway" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-4: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-5", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rachel Grage", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "John Rutherford", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-5: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-6", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Randy Fine", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Eric Yonce", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-7", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bale Dalton", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ryan Elijah", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-7: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "FL-8", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Haridopolos", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jennifer Jenkins", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-8: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-9", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dan Green", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Darren Soto", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-9: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "FL-10", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Maxwell Frost", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-FL", "COOK-H" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "FL-11", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Pericola", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joe Strada", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-11: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-12", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gus M. Bilirakis", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Gus Bilirakis" }, { "name": "Kimberly Overman", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-12: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-13", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Leela Gray", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Anna Paulina Luna", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-13: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "FL-14", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Beltran", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kathy Castor", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-14: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "FL-15", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Laurel Lee", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robert People", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-15: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-16", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 16, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sydney Gruters", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kelly Kirschner", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-16: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "FL-17", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 17, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Matthew Montavon", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Greg Steube", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-17: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-18", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 18, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Scott Franklin", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Curtis Gibson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-18: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-19", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 19, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Victor Arias", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jim Schwartzel", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-19: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-20", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 20, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brent Andersen", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "BP-H-FL", "FL-CANDIDATE" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Brent Anderson" }, { "name": "Debbie Wasserman Schultz", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-20: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "FL-21", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 21, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Martin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brian Mast", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-21: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-22", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 22, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Casey Askar", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Pia Dandiya", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-22: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "FL-23", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 23, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Deborah Adeimy", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lois Frankel", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-23: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "FL-24", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 24, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tedora Brown", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Te Brown" }, { "name": "Oliver Gilbert", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-24: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "FL-25", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 25, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jared Evan Moskowitz", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jared Moskowitz" }, { "name": "Scott Singer", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-25: Lean D. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "FL-26", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 26, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mario Diaz-Balart", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nicole Locklin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-26: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "FL-27", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 27, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eliott Rodriguez", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Maria Elvira Salazar", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Maria Salazar" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "FL-27: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "FL-28", "state": "FL", "state_name": "Florida", "district_number": 28, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Phil Ehr", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Carlos Gimenez", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-FL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "FL-28: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-1", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Amanda Hollowell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "James Kingston", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jim Kingston" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "GA-1: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-2", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sanford Bishop", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Matt Day", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "GA-3", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brian Jack", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Maura Keller", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-4", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Duffie", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jim Duffie" }, { "name": "Hank Johnson", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "GA-5", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Salvesen", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nikema Williams", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "GA-6", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kevin Martin", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lucy McBath", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "GA-7", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tony Kozycki", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rich McCormick", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "GA-7: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-8", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kelly Esti", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Austin Scott", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-8: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-9", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Andrew Clyde", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Caitlyn Gegen", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-9: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-10", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pamela DeLancy", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Houston Gaines", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-10: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-11", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Cowan", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris Harden", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-11: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-12", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rick Allen", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ceretta Smith", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "GA-12: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "GA-13", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jonathan Chavez", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jasmine Clark", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-13: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "GA-14", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Clayton Fuller", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Clay Fuller" }, { "name": "Shawn Harris", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-GA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "GA-14: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "HI-1", "state": "HI", "state_name": "Hawaii", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Hawaii,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ed Case", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-HI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Adriel Lam", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-HI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-HI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "HI-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "HI-2", "state": "HI", "state_name": "Hawaii", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Hawaii,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brenton Awa", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-HI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jill Tokuda", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-HI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-HI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "HI-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "ID-1", "state": "ID", "state_name": "Idaho", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Idaho,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Russ Fulcher", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ID" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kaylee Peterson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ID" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ID" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "ID-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "ID-2", "state": "ID", "state_name": "Idaho", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Idaho,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Elinor Gilbreath", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ID" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Ellie Gilbreath" }, { "name": "Michael K. Simpson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ID" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Mike Simpson" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ID" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "ID-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IL-1", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jonathan Jackson", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Christian Maxwell", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-2", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Donna Miller", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mike Noack", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Michael Noack" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-3", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Angel Oakley", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Delia Ramirez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-4", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lupe Castillo", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Patty Garcia", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-5", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tom Hanson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tommy Hanson" }, { "name": "Mike Quigley", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-6", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sean Casten", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Niki Conforti", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-7", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "La Shawn Ford", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chad Koppie", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-8", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Melissa Bean", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jennifer Davis", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-9", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Daniel K. Biss", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Daniel Biss" }, { "name": "John Elleson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-9: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-10", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Carl Lambrecht", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brad Schneider", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-11", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bill Foster", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jeffrey Walter", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jeff Walter" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-11: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-12", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Bost", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Julie Fortier", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-12: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IL-13", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nikki Budzinski", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jeff Wilson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-13: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-14", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jim Marter", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "James Marter" }, { "name": "Lauren Underwood", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-14: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IL-15", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mary Miller", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jennifer Todd", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-15: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IL-16", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 16, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Darin LaHood", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Paul Nolley", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IL-16: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IL-17", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "district_number": 17, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Illinois,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eric Sorensen", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dillan Vancil", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IL" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "IL-17: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IN-1", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Frank Mrvan", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Barb Regnitz", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "IN-1: Likely D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "IN-2", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jamee Decio", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rudy Yakym", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IN-3", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Marlin A. Stutzman", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Marlin Stutzman" }, { "name": "Kelly Thompson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IN-4", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jim Baird", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Drew Cox", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "BP-H-IN", "GP-IN" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "David Cox" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IN-5", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "J.D. Ford", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Victoria Spartz", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-5: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "IN-6", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jefferson Shreve", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Cynthia Wirth", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Cinde Wirth" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IN-7", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Andr\u00e9 Carson", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Patrick McAuley", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "IN-8", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mary Allen", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mark Messmer", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-8: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IN-9", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Indiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Erin Houchin", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brad Meyer", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IN-9: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "IA-1", "state": "IA", "state_name": "Iowa", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Iowa,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christina Bohannan", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mariannette Miller-Meeks", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "IA-1: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "IA-2", "state": "IA", "state_name": "Iowa", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Iowa,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lindsay James", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joe Mitchell", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IA-2: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "IA-3", "state": "IA", "state_name": "Iowa", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Iowa,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Zach Nunn", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sarah Trone Garriott", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IA-3: Lean D. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "IA-4", "state": "IA", "state_name": "Iowa", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Iowa,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dave Dawson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris McGowan", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-IA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "IA-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KS-1", "state": "KS", "state_name": "Kansas", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tracey Mann", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lauren Reinhold", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KS-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KS-2", "state": "KS", "state_name": "Kansas", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Don Coover", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Derek Schmidt", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KS-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "KS-3", "state": "KS", "state_name": "Kansas", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sharice Davids", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Eric Jenkins", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "KS-3: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "KS-4", "state": "KS", "state_name": "Kansas", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kansas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ron Estes", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Katy Tyndell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KS-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KY-1", "state": "KY", "state_name": "Kentucky", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Comer", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Drew Williams", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "John Williams" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KY-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KY-2", "state": "KY", "state_name": "Kentucky", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brett Guthrie", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Megan Wingfield", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KY-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KY-3", "state": "KY", "state_name": "Kentucky", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Morgan McGarvey", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Maria Teresa Rodriguez", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Maria Rodriguez" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KY-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "KY-4", "state": "KY", "state_name": "Kentucky", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ed Gallrein", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Melissa Strange", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KY-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KY-5", "state": "KY", "state_name": "Kentucky", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ned Pillersdorf", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Hal Rogers", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KY-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "KY-6", "state": "KY", "state_name": "Kentucky", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Kentucky,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ralph Alvarado", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Zach Dembo", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-KY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "KY-6: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "LA-1", "state": "LA", "state_name": "Louisiana", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Louisiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Steve Scalise", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Lauren Jewett", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates and/or open-field label; consult the official candidate inquiry for the complete November 3 field.", "election_format": "open primary; possible December 12 runoff", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "LA-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R.", "format_source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES" ] }, { "district": "LA-2", "state": "LA", "state_name": "Louisiana", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Louisiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Troy Carter", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Lisa Ballay", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates and/or open-field label; consult the official candidate inquiry for the complete November 3 field.", "election_format": "open primary; possible December 12 runoff", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "LA-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D.", "format_source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES" ] }, { "district": "LA-3", "state": "LA", "state_name": "Louisiana", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/CandidateInquiry/ParishCandidate/Print?electionDate=11%2F03%2F2026&electionId=344&parishId=28&parishName=LAFAYETTE", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Clay Higgins", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "John Day", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Priscilla Gonzalez", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Caleb Walker", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Kate Cotten", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Tia LeBrun", "party": "I", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates and/or open-field label; consult the official candidate inquiry for the complete November 3 field.", "election_format": "open primary; possible December 12 runoff", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "LA-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R.", "format_source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES" ] }, { "district": "LA-4", "state": "LA", "state_name": "Louisiana", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Louisiana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Johnson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates and/or open-field label; consult the official candidate inquiry for the complete November 3 field.", "election_format": "open primary; possible December 12 runoff", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "LA-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R.", "format_source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES" ] }, { "district": "LA-5", "state": "LA", "state_name": "Louisiana", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/CandidateInquiry/ParishCandidate/Print?electionDate=11%2F03%2F2026&electionId=344&parishId=60&parishName=WASHINGTON", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Stewart Cathey Jr.", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Misti Cordell", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Oscar Dantzler", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Michael Echols", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Gabe Firment", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Austin Magee", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Dan McKay", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Pat Moore", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Antonio Wilson", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates and/or open-field label; consult the official candidate inquiry for the complete November 3 field.", "election_format": "open primary; possible December 12 runoff", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "LA-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R.", "format_source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES" ] }, { "district": "LA-6", "state": "LA", "state_name": "Louisiana", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/CandidateInquiry/ParishCandidate/Print?electionDate=11%2F03%2F2026&electionId=344&parishId=4&parishName=ASCENSION", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Monique Appeaning", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Chauna Banks", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Rufus Craig", "party": "L", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Larry Davis III", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Rick Edmonds", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Patrick Forbes", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Lindsay Garcia", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Michael Mebruer", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Blake Miguez", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" }, { "name": "Stephen Wagley", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-LA", "LA-CANDIDATES-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates and/or open-field label; consult the official candidate inquiry for the complete November 3 field.", "election_format": "open primary; possible December 12 runoff", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-LA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "LA-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R.", "format_source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES" ] }, { "district": "ME-1", "state": "ME", "state_name": "Maine", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maine,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chellie Pingree", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ME" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ronald C. Russell", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ME" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Ronald Russell" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "ranked-choice general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ME" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "ME-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "ME-2", "state": "ME", "state_name": "Maine", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maine,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Matthew Dunlap", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ME" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Paul LePage", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ME" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "ranked-choice general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ME" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "ME-2: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "MD-1", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Andrew Harris", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Andy Harris" }, { "name": "Dan Schwartz", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MD-2", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Olszewski", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dave Wallace", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MD-3", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sarah Elfreth", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bernard Flowers", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Berney Flowers" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MD-4", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Glenn Ivey", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "George McDermott", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MD-5", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Adrian Boafo", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris Chaffee", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MD-6", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "April McClain Delaney", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robin Ficker", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MD-7", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Scott Collier", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kweisi Mfume", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MD-8", "state": "MD", "state_name": "Maryland", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Maryland,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jamie Raskin", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Cheryl Riley", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MD-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-1", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nadia Milleron", "party": "I", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Richard Neal", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-2", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jim McGovern", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-MA", "COOK-H" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-3", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gary Grossi", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lori Trahan", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-4", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jake Auchincloss", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Thomas Stalcup", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tom Stalcup" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-5", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Katherine Clark", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-MA", "COOK-H" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-6", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Micah Jones", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dan Koh", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-7", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ayanna Pressley", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-MA", "COOK-H" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-8", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Robert Burke", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Stephen Lynch", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MA-9", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Massachusetts,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bill Keating", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "William Keating" }, { "name": "R. Tyler MacAllister", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tyler MacAllister" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MA-9: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MI-1", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Callie Barr", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jack Bergman", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-1: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MI-2", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ben Ambrose", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "John Moolenaar", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MI-3", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Terri DeBoer", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Hillary Scholten", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MI-4", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bill Huizenga", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sean McCann", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-4: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "MI-5", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christian Vukasovich", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tim Walberg", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MI-6", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Debbie Dingell", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Heather Smiley", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MI-7", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tom Barrett", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "William Lawrence", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-7: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "MI-8", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kristen McDonald Rivet", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Thomas J. Smith", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Thomas Smith" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-8: Likely D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "MI-9", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lisa McClain", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ray Pooley", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-9: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MI-10", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Bouchard", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Christina Hines", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MI-10: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "MI-11", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ethan Baker", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jeremy Moss", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-11: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MI-12", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Hooper", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rashida Tlaib", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-12: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MI-13", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Donavan McKinney", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Taras Nykoriak", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "T.P. Nykoriak" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MI-13: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MN-1", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brad Finstad", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jake Johnson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MN-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "MN-2", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Matt Little", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Eric Pratt", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MN-2: Likely D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "MN-3", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tyler Bass", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kelly Morrison", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MN-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MN-4", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Betty McCollum", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Paul Wikstrom", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MN-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MN-5", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Nagel", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ilhan Omar", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MN-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MN-6", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Doug Chapin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tom Emmer", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MN-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MN-7", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michelle Fischbach", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Erik Osberg", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MN-7: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MN-8", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Minnesota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pete Stauber", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Trina Swanson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MN-8: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MS-1", "state": "MS", "state_name": "Mississippi", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Mississippi,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Cliff Johnson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Trent Kelly", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MS-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MS-2", "state": "MS", "state_name": "Mississippi", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Mississippi,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ron Eller", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bennie Thompson", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MS-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MS-3", "state": "MS", "state_name": "Mississippi", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Mississippi,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Chiaradio", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Michael Guest", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MS-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MS-4", "state": "MS", "state_name": "Mississippi", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Mississippi,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Ezell", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jeffrey Hulum", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MS" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MS-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MO-1", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_1st_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Wesley Bell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-1" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Paul Berry", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-1" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-1" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MO-2", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ann Wagner", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-2" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Frederick Wellman", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-2" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Fred Wellman" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-2" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "MO-3", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_3rd_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bethany Mann", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bob Onder", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-3" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-3" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MO-4", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_4th_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mark Alford", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-4" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jordan Herrera", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-4" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-4" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MO-5", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_5th_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rick Brattin", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Emanuel Cleaver", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-5" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-5" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "MO-6", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_6th_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Josh Smead", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris Stigall", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-6" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-6" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MO-7", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_7th_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eric Burlison", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-7" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Missi Hesketh", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-7" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-7" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-7: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MO-8", "state": "MO", "state_name": "Missouri", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri%27s_8th_Congressional_District_election,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christopher Reichard", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-8" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Chris Reichard" }, { "name": "Jason Smith", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-8" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MO-8" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MO-8: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "MT-1", "state": "MT", "state_name": "Montana", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Montana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Aaron Flint", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sam Forstag", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "MT-1: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "MT-2", "state": "MT", "state_name": "Montana", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Montana,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Troy Downing", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brian Miller", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-MT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "MT-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NE-1", "state": "NE", "state_name": "Nebraska", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nebraska,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christopher Backemeyer", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Chris Backemeyer" }, { "name": "Mike Flood", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NE-1: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "NE-2", "state": "NE", "state_name": "Nebraska", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nebraska,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brinker Harding", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Denise Powell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NE-2: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NE-3", "state": "NE", "state_name": "Nebraska", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nebraska,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Adrian Smith", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Becky Lynn Stille", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Becky Stille" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NE" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NE-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NV-1", "state": "NV", "state_name": "Nevada", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nevada,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Carrie Buck", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Dina Titus", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NV-1: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NV-2", "state": "NV", "state_name": "Nevada", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nevada,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Teresa Benitez-Thompson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "David Flippo", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NV-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "NV-3", "state": "NV", "state_name": "Nevada", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nevada,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Susie Lee", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Marty O'Donnell", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Martin O'Donnell" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NV-3: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NV-4", "state": "NV", "state_name": "Nevada", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nevada,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Steven Horsford", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Cody Whipple", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NV" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NV-4: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NH-1", "state": "NH", "state_name": "New Hampshire", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Hampshire,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Anthony DiLorenzo", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Stefany Shaheen", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NH-1: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NH-2", "state": "NH", "state_name": "New Hampshire", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Hampshire,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Maggie Goodlander", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lily Williams", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Lily Tang Williams" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NH-2: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-1", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Damon Galdo", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Donald Norcross", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-2", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Zack Mullock", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jeff Van Drew", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NJ-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NJ-3", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael McGuire", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Herbert C. Conaway Jr.", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-NJ", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "common display-name variant reconciled" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-4", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rachel Peace", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chris Smith", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Christopher Smith" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NJ-5", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Josh Gottheimer", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sean Kirrane", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-6", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Hillary Herzig", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Frank Pallone", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-7", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rebecca Bennett", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Thomas Kean Jr.", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tom Kean Jr." } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NJ-7: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "NJ-8", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Aristotle Eliopoulos", "party": "I", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robert Menendez Jr.", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-NJ", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "common display-name variant reconciled" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-9", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rosemary Pino", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Rosie Pino" }, { "name": "Nellie Pou", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NJ-9: Likely D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NJ-10", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Carmen Bucco", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "LaMonica McIver", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-11", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Joe Hathaway", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Analilia Mejia", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-11: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NJ-12", "state": "NJ", "state_name": "New Jersey", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Jersey,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Adam Hamawy", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Gregg Mele", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NJ" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NJ-12: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NM-1", "state": "NM", "state_name": "New Mexico", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Mexico,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ndidiamaka Okpareke", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Didi Okpareke" }, { "name": "Melanie Ann Stansbury", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Melanie Stansbury" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NM-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NM-2", "state": "NM", "state_name": "New Mexico", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Mexico,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Greg Cunningham", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Gregory Cunningham" }, { "name": "Gabriel Vasquez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NM-2: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "NM-3", "state": "NM", "state_name": "New Mexico", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Mexico,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Teresa Leger Fernandez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Teresa Fernandez" }, { "name": "Martin Ruben Zamora", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Martin Zamora" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NM" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NM-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-1", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christopher Gallant", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nicholas J. LaLota", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Nicholas LaLota" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NY-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NY-2", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Andrew Garbarino", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Patrick Halpin", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NY-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NY-3", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael LiPetri", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tom Suozzi", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Thomas Suozzi" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-3: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NY-4", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jeanine Driscoll", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Laura Gillen", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-4: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NY-5", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "George Marsh", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Gregory W. Meeks", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Gregory Meeks" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-6", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Joseph Chou", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Grace Meng", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-7", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Melvin Rivera", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Claire Valdez", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-8", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Hakeem Jeffries", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lewis Mizrahi", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-9", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Yvette D. Clarke", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Yvette Clarke" }, { "name": "Joel Anabilah-Azumah", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-NY", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "common display-name variant reconciled" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-9: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-10", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brad Lander", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jennifer Moore", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-11", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael DeCillis", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Mike DeCillis" }, { "name": "Nicole Malliotakis", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-11: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NY-12", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Micah Lasher", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Caroline Shinkle", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-12: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-13", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Darializa Avila Chevalier", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Darializa Chevalier" }, { "name": "Manual Williams", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Jomo Williams" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-13: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-14", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Diamant Hysenaj", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-14: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-15", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Stylo A. Sapaskis", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Stylo Sapaskis" }, { "name": "Ritchie Torres", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-15: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-16", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 16, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Joseph Cinquemani", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "George Latimer", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-16: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-17", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 17, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Cait Conley", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Michael Lawler", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-NY", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "common display-name variant reconciled" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-17: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "NY-18", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 18, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jackie Auringer", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Pat Ryan", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-18: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-19", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 19, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Peter Oberacker", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Josh Riley", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-19: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "NY-20", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 20, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ralph Ambrosio", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Paul Tonko", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-20: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-21", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 21, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Anthony Constantino", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Blake Gendebien", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NY-21: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "NY-22", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 22, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kailee Buller", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "John Mannion", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-22: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-23", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 23, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Aaron Gies", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nick Langworthy", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-23: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NY-24", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 24, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Alissa Ellman", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Claudia Tenney", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-24: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NY-25", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 25, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Virginia McIntyre", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joseph Morelle", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-25: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NY-26", "state": "NY", "state_name": "New York", "district_number": 26, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dennis Hannon", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Timothy M. Kennedy", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tim Kennedy" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NY-26: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NC-1", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Laurie Buckhout", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Donald Davis", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Don Davis" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NC-1: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "NC-2", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eugene Douglass", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Gene Douglass" }, { "name": "Deborah Ross", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NC-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NC-3", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gregory Murphy", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Greg Murphy" }, { "name": "Raymond Smith Jr.", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-3: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-4", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Valerie Foushee", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mahesh Ganorkar", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Max Ganorkar" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NC-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NC-5", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Virginia Foxx", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chuck Hubbard", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-5: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-6", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Cyril Jefferson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Addison McDowell", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-6: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-7", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kimberly Hardy", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Kim Hardy" }, { "name": "David Rouzer", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-7: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-8", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mark Harris", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Colby Watson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-8: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-9", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Richard Hudson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Richard Ojeda", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-9: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-10", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ashley Bell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Pat Harrigan", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-10: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-11", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jamie Ager", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jennifer Balkcom", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NC-11: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "NC-12", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Alma Adams", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jack Codiga", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "NC-12: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "NC-13", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Paul Barringer", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brad Knott", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-13: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "NC-14", "state": "NC", "state_name": "North Carolina", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Timothy K. Moore", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Tim Moore" }, { "name": "Lakesha Womack", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-NC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "NC-14: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "ND-AL", "state": "ND", "state_name": "North Dakota", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_North_Dakota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Julie Fedorchak", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ND" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Trygve Hammer", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ND" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-ND" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "ND-AL: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-1", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eric Conroy", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Greg Landsman", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-1: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "OH-2", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jen Mazzuckelli", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "David Taylor", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-3", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Joyce Beatty", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Cleophus Dulaney", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "OH-4", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jim Jordan", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joshua Kolasinski", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-5", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bob Latta", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brian Shaver", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-6", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Elizabeth Kirtley", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Michael Rulli", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-7", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Max Miller", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brian Poindexter", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-7: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "OH-8", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Warren Davidson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Vanessa Enoch", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OH-8: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-9", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Marcy Kaptur", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Derek Merrin", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OH-9: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "OH-10", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kristina Knickerbocker", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Michael Turner", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Mike Turner" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OH-10: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "OH-11", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Shontel Brown", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mike Kirchner", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-11: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "OH-12", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Troy Balderson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jerrad Christian", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-12: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-13", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Carey Coleman", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Emilia Sykes", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-13: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "OH-14", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "David Joyce", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Maria Jukic", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OH-14: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OH-15", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Carey", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Don Leonard", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OH" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OH-15: Lean R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "OK-1", "state": "OK", "state_name": "Oklahoma", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oklahoma,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Croisant", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mark Tedford", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OK-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OK-2", "state": "OK", "state_name": "Oklahoma", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oklahoma,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Josh Brecheen", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brandon Wade", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OK-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OK-3", "state": "OK", "state_name": "Oklahoma", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oklahoma,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Suzie Byrd", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Frank Lucas", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OK-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OK-4", "state": "OK", "state_name": "Oklahoma", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oklahoma,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tom Cole", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mitchell Jacob", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OK-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OK-5", "state": "OK", "state_name": "Oklahoma", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oklahoma,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Stephanie Bice", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jena Nelson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OK" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "OK-5: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OR-1", "state": "OR", "state_name": "Oregon", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oregon,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Suzanne Bonamici", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Barbara Kahl", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OR-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "OR-2", "state": "OR", "state_name": "Oregon", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oregon,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chris Beck", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Cliff Bentz", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OR-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "OR-3", "state": "OR", "state_name": "Oregon", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oregon,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Loran Ayles", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Maxine Dexter", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OR-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "OR-4", "state": "OR", "state_name": "Oregon", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oregon,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Monique DeSpain", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Val Hoyle", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OR-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "OR-5", "state": "OR", "state_name": "Oregon", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oregon,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Patti Adair", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Janelle Bynum", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OR-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "OR-6", "state": "OR", "state_name": "Oregon", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Oregon,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "David Russ", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Andrea Salinas", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-OR" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "OR-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-1", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brian Fitzpatrick", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bob Harvie", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "PA-2", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jessica Arriaga", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brendan Boyle", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-3", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dennis Mahoney", "party": "I", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Christopher Rabb", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Chris Rabb" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-4", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Madeleine Dean", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Aurora Stuski", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-5", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nick Manganaro", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mary Gay Scanlon", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-5: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-6", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chrissy Houlahan", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Marty Young", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-7", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bob Brooks", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ryan Mackenzie", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-7: Lean D. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "PA-8", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rob Bresnahan", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Paige Cognetti", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-8: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "PA-9", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dan Meuser", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rachel Wallace", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-9: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "PA-10", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Scott Perry", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Janelle Stelson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-10: Lean D. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "PA-11", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nancy Mannion", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lloyd Smucker", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-11: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "PA-12", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Hayes", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Summer Lee", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-12: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "PA-13", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Beth Farnham", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "John Joyce", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-13: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "PA-14", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Alan Bradstock", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Guy Reschenthaler", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-14: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "PA-15", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ray Bilger", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Glenn Thompson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-15: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "PA-16", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 16, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Kelly", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Justin Wagner", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-16: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "PA-17", "state": "PA", "state_name": "Pennsylvania", "district_number": 17, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chris Deluzio", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tony Guy", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-PA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "PA-17: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "RI-1", "state": "RI", "state_name": "Rhode Island", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Rhode_Island,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gabe Amo", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-RI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kellie Keenan", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-RI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-RI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "RI-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "RI-2", "state": "RI", "state_name": "Rhode Island", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Rhode_Island,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Seth Magaziner", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-RI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Victor Mellor", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-RI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-RI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "RI-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "SC-1", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jenny Honeycutt", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Nancy Lacore", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SC-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "SC-2", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Zyon Khalifa", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joe Wilson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "SC-2: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "SC-3", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sheri Biggs", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Eunice Lehmacher", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SC-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "SC-4", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Courtney McClain", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "William Timmons", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SC-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "SC-5", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Wes Climer", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mallory Dittmer", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SC-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "SC-6", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "James Clyburn", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jim Clyburn" }, { "name": "John Peterson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SC-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "SC-7", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Russell Fry", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "John Vincent", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SC" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SC-7: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "SD-AL", "state": "SD", "state_name": "South Dakota", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_South_Dakota,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nicole Gronli", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Marty J. Jackley", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SD" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Marty Jackley" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-SD" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "SD-AL: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-1", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kristi Burke", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Diana Harshbarger", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-2", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michaela Barnett", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tim Burchett", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-3", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Charles J. Fleischmann", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Chuck Fleischmann" }, { "name": "Anna Golladay", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-4", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Victoria Broderick", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Scott DesJarlais", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-5", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Charlie Hatcher", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chaz Molder", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-6", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Croley", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Johnny Garrett", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-7", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Darden Copeland", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Matt Van Epps", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-7: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-8", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Heidi Kuhn", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "David Kustoff", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TN-8: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TN-9", "state": "TN", "state_name": "Tennessee", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Tennessee,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Justin Pearson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Brent Taylor", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TN" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TN-9: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-1", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Nathaniel Moran", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Yolanda Prince", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-2", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Shaun Finnie", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Steve Toth", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-3", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Evan Hunt", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Keith Self", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-4", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pat Fallon", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jason Pearce", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "BP-H-TX", "GP-TX" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "James Pearce" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-5", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lance Gooden", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Chelsey Hockett", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-6", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jake Ellzey", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Danny Minton", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-7", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Lizzie Pannill Fletcher", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Lizzie Fletcher" }, { "name": "Alexander Hale", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-8", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Laura Jones", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jessica Steinmann", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-8: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-9", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Leticia Gutierrez", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Alex Mealer", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-9: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "TX-10", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chris Gober", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Caitlin Rourk", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-10: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-11", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "August Pfluger", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Claire Reynolds", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-11: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-12", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 12, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Craig Goldman", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Heli Rodriguez Prilliman", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Angela R. Prilliman" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-12: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-13", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 13, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ronny L. Jackson", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Ronny Jackson" }, { "name": "Mark Nair", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-13: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-14", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 14, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Thurman Bill Bartie", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Thurman Bartie" }, { "name": "Randy Weber", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-14: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-15", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 15, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Monica De La Cruz", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bobby Pulido", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-15: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "TX-16", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 16, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Adam Bauman", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Veronica Escobar", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-16: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-17", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 17, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pete Sessions", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Casey Shepard", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-17: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-18", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 18, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Christian Menefee", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ronald Whitfield", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-18: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-19", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 19, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kyle Rable", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tom Sell", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-19: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-20", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 20, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Edgardo Baez", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Joaquin Castro", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-20: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-21", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 21, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kristin Hook", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mark Teixeira", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-21: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-22", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 22, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Marquette Greene-Scott", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Trever Nehls", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-22: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-23", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 23, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brandon Herrera", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Katy Padilla Stout", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-23: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "TX-24", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 24, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Kevin Burge", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Beth Van Duyne", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-24: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-25", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 25, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dione Sims", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Roger Williams", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-25: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-26", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 26, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brandon Gill", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Steven Shook", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-26: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-27", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 27, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Cloud", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tanya Lloyd", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-27: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-28", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 28, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Henry Cuellar", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tano Tijerina", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-28: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "TX-29", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 29, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Martha Fierro", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Sylvia Garcia", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-29: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-30", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 30, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Frederick Haynes", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Everett Jackson", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-30: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-31", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 31, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Carter", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Justin Early", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-31: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-32", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 32, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dan Barrios", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jace Yarbrough", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-32: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-33", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 33, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Colin Allred", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Patrick Gillespie", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-33: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-34", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 34, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Eric Flores", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Vicente Gonzalez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-34: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "TX-35", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 35, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Carlos De La Cruz", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Johnny Garcia", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Toss-up", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "TX-35: Toss-up. DDHQ: Toss-up; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "TX-36", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 36, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Brian Babin", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rhonda Hart", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-36: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "TX-37", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 37, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Greg Casar", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lauren Pe\u00f1a", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-37: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "TX-38", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "district_number": 38, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jon Bonck", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Melissa McDonough", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-TX" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "TX-38: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "UT-1", "state": "UT", "state_name": "Utah", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Utah,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ben McAdams", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Riley Owen", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "UT-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "UT-2", "state": "UT", "state_name": "Utah", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Utah,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Peter Crosby", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Blake Moore", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "UT-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "UT-3", "state": "UT", "state_name": "Utah", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Utah,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Celeste Maloy", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kent Udell", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "UT-3: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "UT-4", "state": "UT", "state_name": "Utah", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Utah,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mike Kennedy", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Jonny Larsen", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-UT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "UT-4: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "VT-AL", "state": "VT", "state_name": "Vermont", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Vermont,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Becca Balint", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Gerald Malloy", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VT" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VT" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VT-AL: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "VA-1", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Shannon Taylor", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robert J. Wittman", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Rob Wittman" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "VA-1: Toss-up. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "VA-2", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jennifer Kiggans", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Jen Kiggans" }, { "name": "Elaine Luria", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "VA-2: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "VA-3", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Edwin Rivera", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robert C. Scott", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Bobby Scott" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-3: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "VA-4", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jennifer McClellan", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Robert Murray", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "VA-5", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John McGuire", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tom Perriello", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "VA-5: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Likely R." }, { "district": "VA-6", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Benjamin Lee Cline", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Ben Cline" }, { "name": "Beth Macy", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-6: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "VA-7", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Likely D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Douglas Ollivant", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Doug Ollivant" }, { "name": "Eugene Vindman", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-7: Likely D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Likely D." }, { "district": "VA-8", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Tony Sabio", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-VA", "HOUSE-270" ], "verification": "common display-name variant reconciled" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "VA-9", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "H. Morgan Griffith", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Morgan Griffith" }, { "name": "Joy Powers", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-9: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "VA-10", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Dave Beckwith", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Suhas Subramanyam", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "VA-11", "state": "VA", "state_name": "Virginia", "district_number": 11, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Arthur Purves", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Arhtur Purves" }, { "name": "James Walkinshaw", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-VA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "VA-11: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-1", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Suzan DelBene", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Mary Silva", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-1: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-2", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Edwin Feller", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Rick Larsen", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-3", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Braun", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "WA-3: Lean D. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Lean D." }, { "district": "WA-4", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "John Duresky", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Amanda McKinney", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "WA-4: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WA-5", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Baumgartner", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Carmela Conroy", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WA-6", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Teresa Fox", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Emily Randall", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-6: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-7", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Pramila Jayapal", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "source_discrepancy_reconciled", "source_name_variant": "Pramilia Jayapal" }, { "name": "Nirav Sheth", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-7: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-8", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Spencer Meline", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Kim Schrier", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-8: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-9", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 9, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Douglas Michael Basler", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Doug Basler" }, { "name": "D. Adam Smith", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Adam Smith" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-9: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WA-10", "state": "WA", "state_name": "Washington", "district_number": 10, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Washington,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chris Chung", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Marilyn Strickland", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "top-two general", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WA" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WA-10: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WV-1", "state": "WV", "state_name": "West Virginia", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_West_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Vince George", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Carol Miller", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WV" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WV-1: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WV-2", "state": "WV", "state_name": "West Virginia", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_West_Virginia,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Riley Moore", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Ace Parsi", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WV" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WV" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WV-2: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WI-1", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 1, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Lean R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mitchell Berman", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bryan Steil", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Lean R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WI-1: Lean R. DDHQ: Lean R; Cook: Lean R." }, { "district": "WI-2", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 2, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Mark Pocan", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "BP-H-WI", "COOK-H" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; display-name variants normalized" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WI-2: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WI-3", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 3, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Toss-up", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rebecca Cooke", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Derrick Van Orden", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "WI-3: Toss-up. DDHQ: Likely D; Cook: Toss-up." }, { "district": "WI-4", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 4, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe D", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gwen Moore", "party": "D", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tim Rogers", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe D", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WI-4: Safe D. DDHQ: Safe D; Cook: Safe D." }, { "district": "WI-5", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 5, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Andrew Beck", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Scott Fitzgerald", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WI-5: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WI-6", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 6, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Glenn Grothman", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Bradley Smith", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": "Brad Smith" } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "WI-6: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WI-7", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 7, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Michael Alfonso", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Fred Clark", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WI-7: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WI-8", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "district_number": 8, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Wisconsin,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Rick Crosson", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Tony Wied", "party": "R", "incumbent": true, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WI" ], "ddhq_rating": "Likely R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": true, "public_summary": "WI-8: Likely R. DDHQ: Likely R; Cook: Safe R." }, { "district": "WY-AL", "state": "WY", "state_name": "Wyoming", "district_number": null, "ballot_url": "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Wyoming,_2026", "cook_rating": "Safe R", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Chuck Gray", "party": "R", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null }, { "name": "Lisa Kinney", "party": "D", "incumbent": false, "source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WY" ], "verification": "identity_cross_checked; use Ballotpedia display spelling", "source_name_variant": null } ], "candidate_scope": "Featured general-election candidates; consult linked ballot for the full field and write-ins.", "election_format": "general election", "source_ids": [ "DDHQ-H", "COOK-H" ], "candidate_source_ids": [ "HOUSE-270", "BP-H-WY" ], "ddhq_rating": "Safe R", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "rating_dates": { "DDHQ": "2026-10-20", "Cook": "2026-10-16" }, "election_date": "2026-11-03", "cycle": 2026, "district_plan_scope": "2026 election districts as identified by the two rating publishers; no geometry or old-boundary vote history is imported", "verification": "two independent rating producers compared; forecasts are judgments, not verified future outcomes", "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "comparison_disagreement": false, "public_summary": "WY-AL: Safe R. DDHQ: Safe R; Cook: Safe R." } ], "legislative_chambers": [ { "id": "AK-Senate", "state": "AK", "state_name": "Alaska", "chamber": "Senate", "current_governing_context": "Bipartisan coalition", "outlook": "Coalition continuation favored", "outlook_type": "attributed_Louis_Jacobson_assessment", "rating_date": "2026-10-16", "source_ids": [ "UVA-LEG", "NCSL", "BP-LEG" ], "selection_reason": "Competitive control or coalition contest", "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "AK-House", "state": "AK", "state_name": "Alaska", "chamber": "House", "current_governing_context": "Bipartisan coalition", "outlook": "Coalition continuation favored", "outlook_type": "attributed_Louis_Jacobson_assessment", "rating_date": "2026-10-16", "source_ids": [ "UVA-LEG", "NCSL", "BP-LEG" ], "selection_reason": "Competitive control or coalition contest", "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "AZ-Senate", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "chamber": "Senate", "current_governing_context": "Republican", "outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "attributed_Louis_Jacobson_assessment", "rating_date": "2026-10-16", "source_ids": [ "UVA-LEG", "NCSL", "BP-LEG" ], "selection_reason": "Competitive control or coalition contest", "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "AZ-House", "state": "AZ", "state_name": "Arizona", "chamber": "House", "current_governing_context": "Republican", "outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "attributed_Louis_Jacobson_assessment", "rating_date": "2026-10-16", "source_ids": [ "UVA-LEG", "NCSL", "BP-LEG" ], "selection_reason": "Competitive control or coalition contest", "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "GA-House", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "chamber": "House", "current_governing_context": "Republican", "outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "attributed_Louis_Jacobson_assessment", "rating_date": "2026-10-16", "source_ids": [ "UVA-LEG", "NCSL", "BP-LEG" ], "selection_reason": 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"Shawn Keenan", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Phil McGrane", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "IL-SOS", "state": "IL", "state_name": "Illinois", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Alexi Giannoulias", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Diane Harris", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "IN-SOS", "state": "IN", "state_name": "Indiana", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Beau Bayh", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Max Engling", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Toss-up", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Lean R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "IA-SOS", "state": "IA", "state_name": "Iowa", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ryan Peterman", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Paul Pate", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Lean R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Likely R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "KS-SOS", "state": "KS", "state_name": "Kansas", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jennifer Day", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Pat Proctor", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Likely R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Likely R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "MA-SOS", "state": "MA", "state_name": "Massachusetts", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "William Galvin", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Anne Brensley", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "MI-SOS", "state": "MI", "state_name": "Michigan", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Garlin Gilchrist", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Anthony Forlini", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Toss-up", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Likely D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "MN-SOS", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Steve Simon", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Tad Jude", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Likely D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "NE-SOS", "state": "NE", "state_name": "Nebraska", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sarah Slattery", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Scott Petersen", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Likely R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "NV-SOS", "state": "NV", "state_name": "Nevada", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Cisco Aguilar", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Jim Marchant", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Likely D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Likely D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Likely D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "NM-SOS", "state": "NM", "state_name": "New Mexico", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Amanda L\u00f3pez Askin", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Ramona Goolsby", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "ND-SOS", "state": "ND", "state_name": "North Dakota", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Ryan Braunberger", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Michael Howe", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "OH-SOS", "state": "OH", "state_name": "Ohio", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Allison Russo", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Robert Sprague", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Lean R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Lean R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "RI-SOS", "state": "RI", "state_name": "Rhode Island", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Gregg Amore", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Uncontested D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "SC-SOS", "state": "SC", "state_name": "South Carolina", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Jason Belton", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Mark Hammond", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "SD-SOS", "state": "SD", "state_name": "South Dakota", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Terrence Davis", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Heather Baxter", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "VT-SOS", "state": "VT", "state_name": "Vermont", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sarah Copeland Hanzas", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Brooke Paige", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "WI-SOS", "state": "WI", "state_name": "Wisconsin", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "JoCasta Zamarripa", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Jay Schroeder", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Lean D", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Likely D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": true }, { "id": "WY-SOS", "state": "WY", "state_name": "Wyoming", "office": "Secretary of state", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Bryan McCarty", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" }, { "name": "Robert Short", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "identity_check": "matched_or_common_name_variant" } ], "jacobson_rating": "Safe R", "jacobson_rating_date": "2026-09-09", "horizon_rating": "Safe R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "midterm_watch_outlook": "Safe R", "outlook_type": "conservative_editorial_comparison_of_attributed_categories", "source_ids": [ "UVA-SOS", "HORIZON", "BP-SOS" ], "publishable": true, "win_probability": null, "key_contest": false }, { "id": "GA-LT", "state": "GA", "state_name": "Georgia", "office": "Lieutenant governor", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Josh McLaurin", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" }, { "name": "Greg Dolezal", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" } ], "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean D", "jacobson_rating": null, "horizon_rating": "Lean D", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "outlook_type": "attributed_Horizon_category", "key_contest": true, "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "NV-LT", "state": "NV", "state_name": "Nevada", "office": "Lieutenant governor", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Sandra Jauregui", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" }, { "name": "Stavros Anthony", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" } ], "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "jacobson_rating": null, "horizon_rating": "Toss-up", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "outlook_type": "attributed_Horizon_category", "key_contest": true, "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "TX-LT", "state": "TX", "state_name": "Texas", "office": "Lieutenant governor", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Vikki Goodwin", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" }, { "name": "Dan Patrick", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" } ], "midterm_watch_outlook": "Lean R", "jacobson_rating": null, "horizon_rating": "Lean R", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "outlook_type": "attributed_Horizon_category", "key_contest": true, "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "BP-LT" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true }, { "id": "MN-AUD", "state": "MN", "state_name": "Minnesota", "office": "State auditor", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "featured_candidates": [ { "name": "Zack Filipovich", "party": "D", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "MN-PDF" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" }, { "name": "Scott Jensen", "party": "R", "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "MN-PDF" ], "identity_check": "cross_checked" } ], "midterm_watch_outlook": "Toss-up", "jacobson_rating": null, "horizon_rating": "Toss-up", "horizon_rating_date": "2026-10-20", "outlook_type": "editorial_toss_up_from_close_verified_poll", "key_contest": true, "source_ids": [ "HORIZON", "MN-PDF" ], "win_probability": null, "publishable": true } ], "judicial_contests": [ { "id": "NC-COURT-Supreme Court seat 1", "state": "NC", "contest": "Supreme Court seat 1", "candidates": [ "Anita Earls (D)", "Sarah Stevens (R)" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Affects the size of the Republican court majority and the path to control in 2028.", "outlook": "Polling edge: Earls. No numerical win probability; current sources indicate a lead but are not two independent neutral surveys.", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-NC", "BOLTS", "NC-JPOLL", "NC-CF" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "OH-COURT-Supreme Court \u2014 term beginning January 2, 2027", "state": "OH", "contest": "Supreme Court \u2014 term beginning January 2, 2027", "candidates": [ "Jennifer Brunner (D)", "Colleen O\u2019Donnell (R)" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "The last Democratic-held seat is at stake; court control remains Republican even if Democrats win both contested seats.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-OH", "OH-JBALLOT", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "OH-COURT-Supreme Court \u2014 term beginning January 1, 2027", "state": "OH", "contest": "Supreme Court \u2014 term beginning January 1, 2027", "candidates": [ "Dan Hawkins (R)", "Marilyn Zayas (D)" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "A separate race from the Brunner seat; changes the size of the Republican court majority.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-OH", "OH-JBALLOT", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "MI-COURT-Supreme Court \u2014 two seats, vote for up to two", "state": "MI", "contest": "Supreme Court \u2014 two seats, vote for up to two", "candidates": [ "Megan Cavanagh", "Noah Hood", "Casandra Morse-Bills", "Michael D. Warren Jr.", "Thomas Howe", "Jody White" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "All six candidates run on one nonpartisan ballot; the two highest vote-getters win. These are not paired head-to-head contests. The current Democratic-aligned majority cannot be lost solely through these two seats.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-MI", "MI-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true, "seats_to_fill": 2 }, { "id": "MT-COURT-Supreme Court", "state": "MT", "contest": "Supreme Court", "candidates": [ "Amy Eddy", "Dan Wilson" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Nonpartisan election with competing ideological backing; affects the court\u2019s direction.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-MT", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "WA-COURT-Supreme Court position 1", "state": "WA", "contest": "Supreme Court position 1", "candidates": [ "Colleen Melody", "Scott Edwards" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Five court seats are on the ballot; positions 1 and 5 fill unexpired terms, and positions 3, 4 and 7 are full-term elections.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-WA", "WA-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "WA-COURT-Supreme Court position 3", "state": "WA", "contest": "Supreme Court position 3", "candidates": [ "Jaime Michelle Hawk", "David Stevens" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Five court seats are on the ballot; positions 1 and 5 fill unexpired terms, and positions 3, 4 and 7 are full-term elections.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-WA", "WA-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "WA-COURT-Supreme Court position 4", "state": "WA", "contest": "Supreme Court position 4", "candidates": [ "Ian Birk", "Sean O\u2019Donnell" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Five court seats are on the ballot; positions 1 and 5 fill unexpired terms, and positions 3, 4 and 7 are full-term elections.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-WA", "WA-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "WA-COURT-Supreme Court position 5", "state": "WA", "contest": "Supreme Court position 5", "candidates": [ "Theo Angelis", "Dave Larson" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Five court seats are on the ballot; positions 1 and 5 fill unexpired terms, and positions 3, 4 and 7 are full-term elections.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-WA", "WA-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "WA-COURT-Supreme Court position 7", "state": "WA", "contest": "Supreme Court position 7", "candidates": [ "Debra Stephens", "Todd Bloom" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "Five court seats are on the ballot; positions 1 and 5 fill unexpired terms, and positions 3, 4 and 7 are full-term elections.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "COURT-WA", "WA-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "NC-COURT-Court of Appeals seat 1", "state": "NC", "contest": "Court of Appeals seat 1", "candidates": [ "John S. Arrowood (D)", "Michael C. Byrne (R)" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "All three Democratic-held appellate seats are on the ballot. Republicans already hold a majority; these races determine its size.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "NC-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "NC-COURT-Court of Appeals seat 2", "state": "NC", "contest": "Court of Appeals seat 2", "candidates": [ "Tobias (Toby) Hampson (D)", "George Cooper Bell (R)" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "All three Democratic-held appellate seats are on the ballot. Republicans already hold a majority; these races determine its size.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "NC-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "NC-COURT-Court of Appeals seat 3", "state": "NC", "contest": "Court of Appeals seat 3", "candidates": [ "Christine Marie Walczyk (D)", "Craig Collins (R)" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "contested", "why_it_matters": "All three Democratic-held appellate seats are on the ballot. Republicans already hold a majority; these races determine its size.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "NC-JGUIDE", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "AZ-COURT-Lopez retention", "state": "AZ", "contest": "Lopez retention", "candidates": [ "John Lopez IV" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "retention", "why_it_matters": "Retention vote rather than a head-to-head partisan race.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-COURTS", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "FL-COURT-Mu\u00f1iz retention", "state": "FL", "contest": "Mu\u00f1iz retention", "candidates": [ "Carlos Mu\u00f1iz" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "retention", "why_it_matters": "Retention vote rather than a contest against another candidate.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-COURTS", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "MO-COURT-Wilson retention", "state": "MO", "contest": "Wilson retention", "candidates": [ "Paul Wilson" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "retention", "why_it_matters": "Retention election with consequences for the court\u2019s composition.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-COURTS", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true }, { "id": "UT-COURT-Pohlman retention", "state": "UT", "contest": "Pohlman retention", "candidates": [ "Jill Pohlman" ], "election_date": "2026-11-03", "election_type": "retention", "why_it_matters": "Retention contest amid disputes over the court and redistricting.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 insufficient verified polling or a second defensible rating", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "BP-COURTS", "BOLTS" ], "publishable": true } ], "ballot_measures": [ { "id": "AK-Ballot-Measure-2", "state": "AK", "measure": "Ballot Measure 2", "topic": "Election system", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Repeal the top-four primary and ranked-choice general-election system.", "no_summary": "Retain the existing election system.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "AK-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "AK-Ballot-Measure-3", "state": "AK", "measure": "Ballot Measure 3", "topic": "Voting eligibility", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Add an explicit U.S.-citizen-only voting requirement to state law.", "no_summary": "Leave the existing statutory wording unchanged.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "AK-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CA-Proposition-1", "state": "CA", "measure": "Proposition 1", "topic": "Housing", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Authorize housing-affordability bonds.", "no_summary": "Reject this proposed bond authorization.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CA-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CA-Proposition-3", "state": "CA", "measure": "Proposition 3", "topic": "Taxes and public services", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Make the existing higher income-tax rates for high earners permanent.", "no_summary": "Allow the existing scheduled expiration to remain.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CA-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CA-Proposition-39", "state": "CA", "measure": "Proposition 39", "topic": "Voter identification", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Establish the proposed government-issued voter-ID and verification requirements.", "no_summary": "Reject the proposed new requirements.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CA-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CA-Proposition-40", "state": "CA", "measure": "Proposition 40", "topic": "Wealth taxation", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Adopt the proposed one-time tax on covered billionaire wealth.", "no_summary": "Reject the proposed tax.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CA-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "MO-Amendment-3", "state": "MO", "measure": "Amendment 3", "topic": "Abortion and medical regulation", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Repeal the 2024 reproductive-rights amendment and adopt the proposed restrictions, exceptions and ban on gender-transition procedures for minors.", "no_summary": "Keep the 2024 reproductive-rights provision in place; reject this package of changes.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "MO-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "MO-Amendment-6", "state": "MO", "measure": "Amendment 6", "topic": "Initiatives and referendums", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Protect initiative/referendum powers and restrict legislative changes to voter-enacted laws.", "no_summary": "Retain the current constitutional framework.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "MO-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "NV-Question-6", "state": "NV", "measure": "Question 6", "topic": "Reproductive rights", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Give the abortion-rights constitutional amendment its required second voter approval.", "no_summary": "Prevent this proposed constitutional amendment from taking effect; existing statutory rights remain a separate matter.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "NV-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "NV-Question-7", "state": "NV", "measure": "Question 7", "topic": "Voter identification", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Give the voter-identification constitutional amendment its required second voter approval.", "no_summary": "Prevent this proposed constitutional amendment from taking effect.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "NV-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "ID-Proposition-1", "state": "ID", "measure": "Proposition 1", "topic": "Reproductive rights", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Enact the Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act as a statute.", "no_summary": "Reject the proposed statute.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "ID-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "VA-Question-1", "state": "VA", "measure": "Question 1", "topic": "Reproductive rights", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Add constitutional reproductive-freedom protections, with the amendment\u2019s stated third-trimester exceptions.", "no_summary": "Leave the current constitutional text unchanged.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "VA-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CO-Amendment-86", "state": "CO", "measure": "Amendment 86", "topic": "Congressional redistricting", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Require the proposed commission and state Supreme Court approvals for the specified congressional remapping.", "no_summary": "Reject these proposed approval requirements.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CO-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CO-Proposition-134", "state": "CO", "measure": "Proposition 134", "topic": "School athletics", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Adopt the proposed sex-based team-classification requirements.", "no_summary": "Reject the proposed statutory requirements.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CO-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." }, { "id": "CO-Proposition-135", "state": "CO", "measure": "Proposition 135", "topic": "Medical regulation", "election_date": "2026-11-03", "yes_summary": "Adopt the proposed prohibition on specified gender-transition surgeries for minors, subject to stated exceptions.", "no_summary": "Reject the proposed prohibition.", "outlook": "No forecast \u2014 no sufficiently verified measure-specific polling/model in this package", "win_probability": null, "source_ids": [ "CO-MEASURES", "BP-MEASURES" ], "publishable": true, "note": "Concise neutral summary. The official legal text controls; fiscal analyses, effective dates and exceptions are at the source." } ], "conditional_runoffs": [ { "state": "GA", "date": "2026-12-01", "conditional": true, "offices": "Contests requiring a general-election runoff", "registration_note": "October 5 for state/local runoff contests; November 2 for federal runoff contests. Registration and prior participation are separate questions.", "source_ids": [ "GA-CALENDAR", "GA-FULTON", "GA-PUTNAM" ], "publishable": true, "existing_calendar_id": "da691886f7a6ce57", "registration_state_local": "2026-10-05", "registration_federal": "2026-11-02", "early_voting_note": "Statewide: starts as soon as possible, no later than November 23, through November 25. Some counties, including Fulton, schedule a November 21 start; use the local calendar.", "absentee_request_date": "2026-11-20", "ordinary_absentee_return": "Received by close of polls December 1; early-voting drop boxes can close earlier.", "election_day_hours": "7 a.m.\u20137 p.m. local time" }, { "state": "MS", "date": "2026-12-01", "conditional": true, "offices": "Eligible general/special nonpartisan contests, if needed; not a Senate general-election runoff rule", "registration_date": "2026-11-02", "source_ids": [ "MS-CALENDAR", "MS-GUIDE", "VOTE-MAIL" ], "publishable": true, "existing_calendar_id": "b7d3d9575f9d794c", "early_voting_note": "No general early voting. For qualifying absentee voters, in-person absentee voting ends at noon November 28.", "ordinary_absentee_return": "Mail: postmark by December 1; delivery within five business days, by December 8. Eligibility and permitted return method still apply.", "election_day_hours": "7 a.m.\u20137 p.m. local time" }, { "state": "LA", "date": "2026-12-12", "conditional": true, "offices": "U.S. House/open-primary contests without a November majority; not a Senate runoff", "registration_in_person_mail": "2026-11-12", "registration_online": "2026-11-21", "source_ids": [ "LA-FORMAT", "LA-DATES", "LA-JEFFERSON", "LA-POWER" ], "publishable": true, "existing_calendar_id": "09415b40828a4a01", "early_voting_note": "November 28\u2013December 5, excluding Sunday November 29, 8:30 a.m.\u20136 p.m.", "absentee_request_date": "2026-12-08", "absentee_request_time": "4:30 p.m.", "ordinary_absentee_return": "Most voters: received by the registrar by 4:30 p.m. December 11. Special categories differ.", "election_day_hours": "7 a.m.\u20138 p.m. on Saturday December 12" } ], "verification_policy": { "facts": "At least two source documents for published contest identity/calendar facts. Independent producers are used for House rating comparisons. An attributed forecast cannot be verified as a future fact.", "candidate_scope": "Featured candidates are cross-checked; these pages are not certified full sample ballots. Official ballot links and election formats remain visible.", "methodology": "Original poll methodology is authoritative. A second article repeating one survey is a cross-check, not a second independent survey.", "unknowns": "A publisher\u2019s undisclosed unweighted likely-voter count remains null with an explicit disclosure. No invented values.", "publication": "This is insertion content, not a production deployment, licensed live feed, certified election result or human-review attestation." }, "verification_resolutions": [ { "id": "CT-registration-receipt", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: current state voter guide and municipal notices confirm October 16 postmark; same-day registration is a separate in-person route.", "original_severity": "P0" }, { "id": "NV-online", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: online same-day registration continues through November 3, but late registrants must vote in person. A generic five-days-before rule was not used.", "original_severity": "P0" }, { "id": "OK-registration-receipt", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: state registration instructions and Ballotpedia confirm the October 9 postmark rule.", "original_severity": "P0" }, { "id": "AK-mail-rule", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: October 24 application receipt, not merely postmark; separate electronic-delivery deadlines are explained.", "original_severity": "P0" }, { "id": "KS-mail-rule", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: applications must be filed by October 27. Current official guidance retains the court-ordered ballot postmark grace period; older static calendar wording was superseded.", "original_severity": "P0" }, { "id": "MN-poll-metadata", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved using original SurveyUSA PDF: fieldwork October 8\u201312, original release October 13, 718 likely voters, 45\u201342.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "ME-fieldwork", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved using Suffolk methodology: October 8\u201311; 500 likely voters; \u00b14.4 points.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "NC-LV-metadata", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved using original toplines: 561 likely voters; \u00b14.9 credibility interval, distinct from 800 adults and \u00b14.03.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "house-mirror-stale", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved by replacing the stale UVA House mirror with the original October 16 Cook ratings and checking all 435 districts against DDHQ.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "uf-national-total", "status": "excluded_from_public_claims", "resolution": "Closed by exclusion: no national early-vote count is asserted or imported. A single-source number is not needed for a defensible forecast, and is not relabeled verified.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "finance-totals", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved for the published finance scope: both Texas Senate nominees\u2019 2026 authorized-committee receipts, disbursements and cash through September 30 reconcile with OpenFEC and secondary figures. Three committee records were summed; an auxiliary-fund termination label was distinguished from the principal committee. Unreconciled figures elsewhere remain excluded.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "remaining-voting-fields", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved for the published ordinary-domestic calendar: all 51 request, in-person voting, return and poll-hour summaries compared across source documents; local variation is explicit. Unverified uniform opening times and portal availability are not asserted.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "runoff-records", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: all three conditional dates and office scopes rechecked; Louisiana House versus Senate systems distinguished.", "original_severity": "P1" }, { "id": "downballot-predictions", "status": "resolved", "resolution": "Resolved: legislative, executive, judicial and measure watch entries added. Unsupported court/measure winner probabilities are explicitly unforecasted.", "original_severity": "P2" } ], "last_national_forecast_check_utc": "2026-10-20T20:10:41Z", "campaign_finance": [ { "id": "S6TX00479", "candidate": "James Talarico", "party": "D", "office": "Texas Senate", "cycle": 2026, "coverage_start": "2025-09-08", "coverage_end": "2026-09-30", "authorized_committee_ids": [ "C00919084" ], "receipts_usd": 128772835.42, "disbursements_usd": 114178603.57, "cash_on_hand_usd": 14594231.85, "display_rounding": "nearest dollar", "source_ids": [ "FEC-TALARICO", "GP-TX", "PACHAND-FIN", "FEC-C00919084" ], "receipts_source_ids": [ "FEC-TALARICO", "GP-TX" ], "disbursements_source_ids": [ "FEC-TALARICO", "GP-TX" ], "cash_source_ids": [ "FEC-TALARICO", "PACHAND-FIN" ], "verification": "Exact committee sums reconcile with OpenFEC candidate totals; rounded figures match the secondary publications.", "note": "FEC authorized-committee aggregates include reported transfers; they are not a measure of unique new donations, outside spending, or current cash.", "auxiliary_committee_note": null }, { "id": "S6TX00388", "candidate": "Ken Paxton", "party": "R", "office": "Texas Senate", "cycle": 2026, "coverage_start": "2025-04-01", "coverage_end": "2026-09-30", "authorized_committee_ids": [ "C00901918", "C00930446" ], "receipts_usd": 19497809.76, "disbursements_usd": 14572704.29, "cash_on_hand_usd": 4925105.47, "display_rounding": "nearest dollar", "source_ids": [ "FEC-PAXTON", "GP-TX", "PACHAND-FIN", "FEC-C00901918", "FEC-C00930446" ], "receipts_source_ids": [ "FEC-PAXTON", "GP-TX" ], "disbursements_source_ids": [ "FEC-PAXTON", "GP-TX" ], "cash_source_ids": [ "FEC-PAXTON", "PACHAND-FIN" ], "verification": "Exact committee sums reconcile with OpenFEC candidate totals; rounded figures match the secondary publications.", "note": "FEC authorized-committee aggregates include reported transfers; they are not a measure of unique new donations, outside spending, or current cash.", "auxiliary_committee_note": "An auxiliary authorized nominee fund filed a termination report with zero ending cash. The principal committee reported October Quarterly; the candidate aggregate\u2019s last-report label must not be read as the principal campaign terminating." } ], "publisher": { "editorial_byline": "Oak and Main Developers", "corrections_email": "admin@oakandmain.dev", "political_affiliation": "None", "sponsorship_policy": "Site bylaws prohibit sponsorships. No sponsorship compensation is received.", "political_pac_funding_policy": "No funding is received from political PACs.", "disclosure_provenance": "Supplied by the publisher on October 20, 2026." }, "house_watchlist_note": "Legacy featured subset; house_races contains the complete 435-district list." }